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TSF NPC Tipping 2024

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved TSF Competitions
59 Posts 13 Posters 2.9k Views 2 Watching
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  • antipodeanA Offline
    antipodeanA Offline
    antipodean
    wrote on last edited by
    #40

    Think I'll amend my tip to be Ta$man 1-8. I really should read squad announcements before submitting.

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    • DonsteppaD Offline
      DonsteppaD Offline
      Donsteppa
      wrote on last edited by
      #41

      Regression to the mean is well underway for my tipping this weekend...

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • KiwiPieK Offline
        KiwiPieK Offline
        KiwiPie
        wrote on last edited by
        #42

        The results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

        It was a tough week for accuracy of picks and nobody picked 7/7. Getting 6/7 were Sportboy, TR, Dan54, Corkscrew, Kirwan & BorderJB. Mikedogz was top scorer on 47 with 3 maximums and Manawatu as low scorers with TR and Bay Imports a point behind. George33 continued his impressive run of low scores with a season's low of 14.

        Donsteppa's lead is down to 11 with the unlikely scenario of Sportboy in 2nd place, moving above Winger. BOP has 3 of the top 4 and finish the regular season 2nd behind Wellington who were pipped by Wairarapa Bush who sneak into 4th spot and a repeat game against Wellington in the semi-final. It is the Battle of the Bays in the other semi.

        I moved into the final of the Cup beating Triple T in a low scoring game. I will play Donsteppa or Winger - the winner of their replay is the first to move ahead next weekend. 2 legs for the Cup final.

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        • M Offline
          M Offline
          Machpants
          wrote on last edited by
          #43

          Sorry fellow Bush team - shiiiiiiiiiiiite week for me. But you managed to keep us in it

          KiwiPieK 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • M Machpants

            Sorry fellow Bush team - shiiiiiiiiiiiite week for me. But you managed to keep us in it

            KiwiPieK Offline
            KiwiPieK Offline
            KiwiPie
            wrote on last edited by
            #44

            @Machpants said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

            Sorry fellow Bush team - shiiiiiiiiiiiite week for me. But you managed to keep us in it

            Good news for Bush - you were drafted into the Counties Waikato team at the start of the season!

            M 1 Reply Last reply
            0
            • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

              @Machpants said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

              Sorry fellow Bush team - shiiiiiiiiiiiite week for me. But you managed to keep us in it

              Good news for Bush - you were drafted into the Counties Waikato team at the start of the season!

              M Offline
              M Offline
              Machpants
              wrote on last edited by
              #45

              @KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

              @Machpants said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

              Sorry fellow Bush team - shiiiiiiiiiiiite week for me. But you managed to keep us in it

              Good news for Bush - you were drafted into the Counties Waikato team at the start of the season!

              Oh yeah I forgot, still listed under Bush

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              • KiwiPieK Offline
                KiwiPieK Offline
                KiwiPie
                wrote on last edited by
                #46

                Time to tip - penultimate week and then we wait until February 2025 before we get to tip again.

                https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

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                • KiwiPieK Offline
                  KiwiPieK Offline
                  KiwiPie
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #47

                  The results are in for the penultimate round of TSF NPC Tipping https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

                  A very tough week with only 2 picking Counties to win and 6 picking Harbour - and nobody of course picking the massive routs. Your score was largely dependent on whether you picked Hawke's Bay or Auckland and Otago or Ta$man to win as these were 50/50 splits.

                  Best of the weekend was Wayne's World with 4 maximums in 5 correct results, the only tipper to pass 40 points. Dolamite the only tipper to pick 6/7 was second best on 39 with M'nch and Stockcar86.

                  At the top, Donsteppa takes a 12 point lead into the final round with Winger in 2nd and Sportboy 19 points behind in 3rd. Low score was BorderJB with 17.

                  In the teams comp, the final will be between Hawke's Bay and Wairarapa Bush as the top 2 on the ladder, Wellington and BOP, bombed out. Lowest score for HB was 34, best score for BOP was only 32 so a comprehensive thrashing. Wellington v Bush was closer but the 45 from Waynes World sealed it.

                  In the Cup, Winger eventually beat Donsteppa in the replay by picking Waikato 17+ - Winger leads me 35-31 after the first leg of the final.

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                  • KiwiPieK Offline
                    KiwiPieK Offline
                    KiwiPie
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #48

                    Given it is the last weekend for tipping and I get to put my feet up for 4 months afterwards, I'll try to send some live updates during the weekend.

                    Going into the final weekend, Donsteppa leads by 12 looking to win his first title outright after sharing it back in 2008 and finishing 3rd in the last 2 seasons. Will the pressure be too much.

                    2nd is Winger, who won outright in 2012 and shared the title with Bay Imports in 2019.

                    3rd and 19 off the lead is Sportboy who has never finished in the top 3 in any TSF Tipping competition. I don't believe anyone else can make up the gap to win overall.

                    The teams final is between Hawke's Bay and Wairarapa Bush. Hawke's Bay are 4 times winners and the reigning champions while Bush are 3 times winners.

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                    • KiwiPieK Offline
                      KiwiPieK Offline
                      KiwiPie
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #49

                      Final reminder to get your tips in for NPC 2024. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

                      1 Reply Last reply
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                      • KiwiPieK Offline
                        KiwiPieK Offline
                        KiwiPie
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #50

                        This first game might be critical with a fairly even split of picks for Northland and Otago. Of the top 4, only Donsteppa picked Northland and the lead is down to just 4 points.

                        image.png

                        Bush take an early lead in the final

                        28424097-c6f7-4de6-8d63-a8ec6822357c-image.png

                        No change in the TSF Cup Final after 10 apiece

                        dbdace11-c5d6-432f-8bba-307a2cf8e252-image.png

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                        • KiwiPieK Offline
                          KiwiPieK Offline
                          KiwiPie
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #51

                          Winger has closed the gap to just 2 points after being closer with the margin of the Canterbury win. It all comes down to the Shield challenge, Winger has Taranaki winning it and if that happens then Winger is champion.

                          image.png

                          c779da5b-6031-422c-97f4-80b357e3d0ce-image.png

                          6b1d8c36-9b0e-495c-a070-87fd3e3f3587-image.png

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                          • DonsteppaD Offline
                            DonsteppaD Offline
                            Donsteppa
                            wrote on last edited by Donsteppa
                            #52

                            Nicely done to @Winger. I knew Northland was a risky one, but I thought Ta$man might have valued the Shield, rather than rolling over πŸ™‚

                            KiwiPieK 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • DonsteppaD Donsteppa

                              Nicely done to @Winger. I knew Northland was a risky one, but I thought Ta$man might have valued the Shield, rather than rolling over πŸ™‚

                              KiwiPieK Offline
                              KiwiPieK Offline
                              KiwiPie
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #53

                              @Donsteppa said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

                              Nicely done to @Winger. I knew Northland was a risky one, but I thought Ta$man might have valued the Shield, rather than rolling over πŸ™‚

                              Don't give up hope. Every team I've picked to win this weekend has instantly gone 20 points down and I'm 3/5.

                              DonsteppaD 1 Reply Last reply
                              1
                              • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

                                @Donsteppa said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

                                Nicely done to @Winger. I knew Northland was a risky one, but I thought Ta$man might have valued the Shield, rather than rolling over πŸ™‚

                                Don't give up hope. Every team I've picked to win this weekend has instantly gone 20 points down and I'm 3/5.

                                DonsteppaD Offline
                                DonsteppaD Offline
                                Donsteppa
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #54

                                @KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

                                @Donsteppa said in TSF NPC Tipping 2024:

                                Nicely done to @Winger. I knew Northland was a risky one, but I thought Ta$man might have valued the Shield, rather than rolling over πŸ™‚

                                Don't give up hope. Every team I've picked to win this weekend has instantly gone 20 points down and I'm 3/5.

                                The first 50 minutes of the weekend were great, until Northland got intercepted πŸ™‚

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                                1
                                • DonsteppaD Offline
                                  DonsteppaD Offline
                                  Donsteppa
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #55

                                  Confirmed congrats to @Winger

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  2
                                  • KiwiPieK Offline
                                    KiwiPieK Offline
                                    KiwiPie
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #56

                                    It's all over and the results are at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

                                    Congratulation to @Winger running down @Donsteppa in the final week and clinching the title when Taranaki took the Ranfurly Shield. 3rd place to @sportboy after years of comical underachievement, that's a great performance.

                                    Best of the weekend was @Dan54 with 50 points, 6/7 and Waikato as lowest scorers. Winger, @Paj and @Landers92 scored 49, the latter with 7/7 which means 1 of only 3 to pick Southland to win.

                                    Hawke's Bay took out the teams title with a narrow 34-33 win over Wairarapa Bush. Indebted to Paj for the outstanding score and to @Stockcar86 who mysteriously picked Southland as top scorers. As he picked Counties for low scorers, then I presume he got them the wrong way round and without that cunning plan, Bush would have won.

                                    Winger did the league and cup double, thrashing me 84-68 over 2 weekends.

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                                    • Stockcar86S Offline
                                      Stockcar86S Offline
                                      Stockcar86
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #57

                                      Thanks @KiwiPie . Sometimes it really is better to be stupid and lucky, than be good

                                      1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • Dan54D Offline
                                        Dan54D Offline
                                        Dan54
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #58

                                        Add my thanks @KiwiPie , I still can't get over it I have never really got into picking comps, but seem to enjoy these ones.
                                        Could be a good rugby site combined with a well run comp!!!

                                        1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • KiwiPieK Offline
                                          KiwiPieK Offline
                                          KiwiPie
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #59

                                          Finally for the season, a review of the history of NPC Tipping. The winners have been

                                          2006 Brakdov
                                          2008 Donsteppa/KP/Higgins
                                          2009 TR
                                          2010 Bay Imports
                                          2011 TR
                                          2012 Winger
                                          2013 Propsicle
                                          2014 Cactus Jack
                                          2015 Higgins
                                          2016 Joan and Mary
                                          2018 Langakali
                                          2019 Bay Imports/Winger
                                          2020 Dice
                                          2021 Higgins/Plastered Peni
                                          2022 Crucial
                                          2023 Bay Imports
                                          2024 Winger

                                          3 titles each for Winger, Higgins and Bay Imports. 2 for TR.

                                          2006 Valley
                                          2008 Northland
                                          2009 Waikato
                                          2010 Hawke's Bay
                                          2011 Hawke's Bay
                                          2012 BOP
                                          2013 Hawke's Bay
                                          2014 Wellington
                                          2015 Wairarapa Bush
                                          2016 Wairarapa Bush
                                          2018 Northland
                                          2019 Wairarapa Bush
                                          2020 Northland
                                          2021 Counties-Waikato
                                          2022 Harbour-Auckland
                                          2023 Hawke's Bay
                                          2024 Hawke's Bay

                                          5 titles for Hawke's Bay, 3 for Wairarapa Bush and Northland.

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