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2018 Football World Cup

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  • SneakdefreakS Offline
    SneakdefreakS Offline
    Sneakdefreak
    wrote on last edited by
    #37

    Just made my TAB Free Kick picks - my final four are France, Argentina, Germany & Brazil. France V Argentina in the final with France crowned champions.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
    • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

      Latest odds for outright winners - Russia should be much higher than 61 although their group is an easy one (mainly because they are in it!). Hard to see the winners coming from outside that top 4 to be honest.

      Brazil 5.00
      Germany 6.00
      France 7.00
      Spain 7.00
      Argentina 10.00
      Belgium 11.00
      England 19.00
      Portugal 26.00
      Uruguay 26.00
      Croatia 34.00
      Colombia 41.00
      Russia 61.00
      Poland 81.00
      Denmark 101.00
      Mexico 101.00
      Peru 126.00
      Serbia 126.00
      Switzerland 126.00
      Sweden 201.00
      Senegal 201.00
      Egypt 201.00
      Nigeria 251.00
      Australia 301.00
      Japan 401.00
      Morocco 401.00
      Iceland 401.00
      Iran 501.00
      South Korea 501.00
      Costa Rica 601.00
      Tunisia 751.00
      Panama 2001.00
      Saudi Arabia 2501.00

      BovidaeB Offline
      BovidaeB Offline
      Bovidae
      wrote on last edited by
      #38

      @kiwipie said in 2018 Football World Cup:

      Latest odds for outright winners - Russia should be much higher than 61

      Russia are the lowest ranked team (70th) so very generous.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • Billy TellB Offline
        Billy TellB Offline
        Billy Tell
        wrote on last edited by
        #39

        Switzerland play pretty boring but I’d like them to do well if only to see how much Switzerland can actually do “excited”.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • dKD Offline
          dKD Offline
          dK
          wrote on last edited by
          #40

          Brazil to beat Germany in the final 1.70 to 1.41

          https://www.businessinsider.com.au/world-cup-predictions-pick-to-win-it-all-goldman-sachs-ai-model-2018-6?utm_source=Business+Insider+Australia+-+10+things+you+need+to+know+in+the+morning+in+Australia&utm_campaign=5723a1809d-businessinsider_2018_06_12&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_8a990bd96b-5723a1809d-279312953

          1 Reply Last reply
          1
          • antipodeanA Offline
            antipodeanA Offline
            antipodean
            wrote on last edited by
            #41

            Based on 200,000 rounds of EA Sports? You'd hope they checked it by running a few simulations from 2014.

            1 Reply Last reply
            1
            • NepiaN Online
              NepiaN Online
              Nepia
              wrote on last edited by
              #42

              When does the Wendyball World Cup kick off?

              KiwiMurphK 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • NepiaN Nepia

                When does the Wendyball World Cup kick off?

                KiwiMurphK Online
                KiwiMurphK Online
                KiwiMurph
                wrote on last edited by
                #43

                @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                NepiaN canefanC 2 Replies Last reply
                0
                • KiwiMurphK KiwiMurph

                  @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                  NepiaN Online
                  NepiaN Online
                  Nepia
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #44

                  @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                  @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                  Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                  But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                  boobooB 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • KiwiMurphK KiwiMurph

                    @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                    canefanC Online
                    canefanC Online
                    canefan
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #45

                    @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                    @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                    Sink your teeth into it!

                    alt text

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    1
                    • NepiaN Nepia

                      @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                      @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                      Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                      But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                      boobooB Offline
                      boobooB Offline
                      booboo
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #46

                      @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                      @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                      @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                      Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                      But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                      Might jump on that bandwagon.

                      Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                      • Brazil
                      • Germany
                      • Italy
                      • Argentina
                      • Uruguay
                      • England
                      • France
                        or
                      • Spain
                        ?
                      canefanC 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • boobooB Offline
                        boobooB Offline
                        booboo
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #47

                        And also not-Australia ... how hideous would that be?

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        0
                        • boobooB booboo

                          @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                          @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                          @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                          Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                          But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                          Might jump on that bandwagon.

                          Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                          • Brazil
                          • Germany
                          • Italy
                          • Argentina
                          • Uruguay
                          • England
                          • France
                            or
                          • Spain
                            ?
                          canefanC Online
                          canefanC Online
                          canefan
                          wrote on last edited by canefan
                          #48

                          @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                          @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                          @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                          @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                          Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                          But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                          Might jump on that bandwagon.

                          Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                          • Brazil
                          • Germany
                          • Italy
                          • Argentina
                          • Uruguay
                          • England
                          • France
                            or
                          • Spain
                            ?

                          Belgium are a chance

                          KruseK BovidaeB 2 Replies Last reply
                          0
                          • canefanC canefan

                            @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                            Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                            But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                            Might jump on that bandwagon.

                            Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                            • Brazil
                            • Germany
                            • Italy
                            • Argentina
                            • Uruguay
                            • England
                            • France
                              or
                            • Spain
                              ?

                            Belgium are a chance

                            KruseK Offline
                            KruseK Offline
                            Kruse
                            wrote on last edited by Kruse
                            #49

                            @canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                            @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                            Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                            But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                            Might jump on that bandwagon.

                            Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                            • Brazil
                            • Germany
                            • Italy
                            • Argentina
                            • Uruguay
                            • England
                            • France
                              or
                            • Spain
                              ?

                            Belgium are a chance

                            I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
                            Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.

                            antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
                            1
                            • canefanC canefan

                              @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                              @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                              @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                              @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                              Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                              But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                              Might jump on that bandwagon.

                              Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                              • Brazil
                              • Germany
                              • Italy
                              • Argentina
                              • Uruguay
                              • England
                              • France
                                or
                              • Spain
                                ?

                              Belgium are a chance

                              BovidaeB Offline
                              BovidaeB Offline
                              Bovidae
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #50

                              @canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                              Belgium are a chance

                              If they don't capitulate then I'd put Croatia in the same bracket as Belgium. A fantastic team on paper but they don't always perform when required.

                              Most have France vs Brazil and Germany vs Spain in the SFs.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              0
                              • KruseK Kruse

                                @canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                                Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                                But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                                Might jump on that bandwagon.

                                Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                                • Brazil
                                • Germany
                                • Italy
                                • Argentina
                                • Uruguay
                                • England
                                • France
                                  or
                                • Spain
                                  ?

                                Belgium are a chance

                                I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
                                Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.

                                antipodeanA Offline
                                antipodeanA Offline
                                antipodean
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #51

                                @kruse said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                                Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                                But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                                Might jump on that bandwagon.

                                Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                                • Brazil
                                • Germany
                                • Italy
                                • Argentina
                                • Uruguay
                                • England
                                • France
                                  or
                                • Spain
                                  ?

                                Belgium are a chance

                                I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
                                Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.

                                Nice reference.

                                And time to resurrect this:
                                alt text

                                canefanC 1 Reply Last reply
                                2
                                • antipodeanA antipodean

                                  @kruse said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                                  Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                                  But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                                  Might jump on that bandwagon.

                                  Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                                  • Brazil
                                  • Germany
                                  • Italy
                                  • Argentina
                                  • Uruguay
                                  • England
                                  • France
                                    or
                                  • Spain
                                    ?

                                  Belgium are a chance

                                  I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
                                  Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.

                                  Nice reference.

                                  And time to resurrect this:
                                  alt text

                                  canefanC Online
                                  canefanC Online
                                  canefan
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #52

                                  @antipodean said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @kruse said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @canefan said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @booboo said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @nepia said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @kiwimurph said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                  @nepia midnight Thurs night Syd time.

                                  Cheers, clearly my culling of Wendyball fan friends has worked a treat to the point when I don't know when it's on - now if I could only cull boganpalooza fans as well ;).

                                  But seriously, go Portugal, assuming they have made it.

                                  Might jump on that bandwagon.

                                  Might have already mentioned I want a new winner. Who's the favourite who is not:

                                  • Brazil
                                  • Germany
                                  • Italy
                                  • Argentina
                                  • Uruguay
                                  • England
                                  • France
                                    or
                                  • Spain
                                    ?

                                  Belgium are a chance

                                  I won't watch any of this, unless Belgium get to the final - in which case I will jump on the bandwagon, head over to Brujes to watch it and support them.
                                  Do some coke, abuse some fat americans.

                                  Nice reference.

                                  And time to resurrect this:
                                  alt text

                                  Would they be trying to work out why England are so good at getting knocked out early without barely firing a shot?

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • taniwharugbyT Offline
                                    taniwharugbyT Offline
                                    taniwharugby
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #53

                                    some actuarial analysis into who will win...

                                    If you’re wondering who’s likely to win World Cup 2018, then this study from insurance broker JLT Specialty has interesting insights for you.

                                    Citing new research from JLT, Actuarial Post reported the odds – Brazil, with a 17.89% chance to bag World Cup victory, leads the way, followed by Germany, Spain, France, and Argentina.

                                    According to the report, the risk management firm calculated each club’s probability of winning using the average odds of 25 betting houses. In addition, JLT’s study also examined ‘player value’ – France, with £967 million in estimated market value, is considered to have the most valuable squad.

                                    “Despite humiliation four years ago Brazil have bounced back and are now in a great position to walk away from Russia as champions,” Duncan Fraser, head of sport at JLT Specialty, was quoted as saying. “Whether they can replicate their pre-tournament form remains to be seen, and they will be up against stiff competition from the many European teams looking to cause an upset, including reigning champions Germany.

                                    “Our analysis found that the value of players does not necessarily correlate with how likely a team is to win the tournament. Whoever lifts the trophy in July will need a combination of factors to go right for them, including form, fitness, and luck.”

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • antipodeanA Offline
                                      antipodeanA Offline
                                      antipodean
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #54

                                      @taniwharugby said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                      According to the report, the risk management firm calculated each club’s probability of winning using the average odds of 25 betting houses.

                                      That's analysis now is it?

                                      taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • RapidoR Offline
                                        RapidoR Offline
                                        Rapido
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #55

                                        I haven't actually gone to the bother of checking the Brazilian squad, but do they not have some players playing professionally in the Russian league? or in eastern Ukraine (Shahktar Donetsk etc).

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • antipodeanA antipodean

                                          @taniwharugby said in 2018 Football World Cup:

                                          According to the report, the risk management firm calculated each club’s probability of winning using the average odds of 25 betting houses.

                                          That's analysis now is it?

                                          taniwharugbyT Offline
                                          taniwharugbyT Offline
                                          taniwharugby
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #56

                                          @antipodean I guess it is when you collate data from various sources, however basic, even if any other pleb like you or I could do the same....

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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