TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018
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It is all up to date here https://www.thesilverfern.com/tipping/ plus you can already tip the final week of tipping for the year.
Not much variation in the scores as a few picked 8/8 and the majority had 7/8. A week when you needed to get your margins correct for the top score and Corkscrew picked 6 of the 8 margins to rake in 65 with DK, Fiamacho & Triple T also 60+.
Fiamacho gained some ground on the leaders but is still in 4th, 8 behind leader Langakali who leads by 4 from Stargazer with Higgins in 3rd. Looks like it is between those 4 unless Tim can score huge - he is 5th 16 behind the leader.
It was as close as it could be between Northland and Hawke's Bay in the 1st semi-final. 53-53 and both teams scored 266 points in total. There had to be a winner so I gave it to Northland due to more correct margins (16-15) or because they finished higher on the ladder (take your pick!).
The other one was also a close battle, Wellington beating Wairarapa Bush 57-56. So Northland will play Wellington in the final, Wellington going for their first title since 2014, Northland their first since 2008.
Finally in the TSF Cup, Crucial rose to the big occasion by posting one of the worst scores of the weekend and Tim takes a 16 point lead into the second leg.
Corkscrew 65
DK 62
Fiamacho 61
Triple T 61
Winger 59
Laurence 59
Antipodean 59
Langakali 57
Tim 57
Plastered Peni 57
Stockcar86 57
Hurrycanes 57
Cactus Jack 57
Propsicle 57
Donsteppa 56
Gunner 55
Stargazer 54
Higgins 54
KP 54
Broughie 54
FarNthHayden 54
Virgil 54
Bay Imports 54
Hydro11 52
Victor 52
Justin77 52
Trooa 52
Buck 51
Dogmeat 51
Phooey 49
Smudge 44
TR 44
Paj 44
Waynes World 43
Joan and Mary 41
Richie 41
Unite 41
Crucial 41
Mikedogz 40
Hooroo 38
Clara 33
Sportboy 33
ACT Crusader 33@kiwipie said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:
Finally in the TSF Cup, Crucial rose to the big occasion by posting one of the worst scores of the weekend and Tim takes a 16 point lead into the second leg.
I have taken lots of notes this weekend on how to engineer a comeback win. Currently waiting on a phone call from Cheika before putting in this weeks tips.
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@kiwipie said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:
Finally in the TSF Cup, Crucial rose to the big occasion by posting one of the worst scores of the weekend and Tim takes a 16 point lead into the second leg.
I have taken lots of notes this weekend on how to engineer a comeback win. Currently waiting on a phone call from Cheika before putting in this weeks tips.
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It's the final week of TSF Tipping for 2018. After today, you can put your feet up until February.
https://www.thesilverfern.com/current-tipping-form/
FINAL
Northland v WellingtonCUP FINAL
Crucial 41 v 57 TimTOP 10
Langakali 389
Stargazer 385
Higgins 382
Fiamacho 381
Tim 373
Winger 369
Gunner 367
Donsteppa 366
Hydro11 363
KP, Victor 362 -
In case anyone is interested in my plan to emulate the Wobblies and mount an epic second half comeback (ie decide to start playing) in the Cup match.
So far I am still 16 points adrift of Tim as we both had the same selections for the first three picks. I get a chance to start clawing back (or dig a deeper hole) tomorrow as we have gone opposite ways on the Northland/BOP game.
We have also gone opposites for the Battle of the bridge and have margin differences for the Shield game and the Poo v Stags game. -
As Crucial has summarised the TSF Cup Final - here is progress on the rest.
Langakali retains a slim 4 point lead but Higgins has joined Stargazer in 2nd place. Fiamacho would be level at the top if he had tipped on time - as he gained maximums from the next 2 games.
Wellington with the early advantage due to Fiamacho turning up late but all to play for still. Interestingly all the Northland team has picked BOP to win while a couple of Wellingtonians have gone for Northland.
Langakali 411
Stargazer 407
Higgins 407
Fiamacho 401
Tim 395
Gunner 394
Winger 394
KP 392
Victor 392
Donsteppa 388
Hydro11 388Final Northland 23 - 25 Wellington
3rd Hawke's Bay 21 - 26 Wairarapa Bush
Plate Harbour-Auckland 19 - 15 BOP
7th South Island 19 - 16 Counties-Waikato -
KP, if the double points wildcard option is still available Hawkes Bay elect to invoke our 2018 entitlement this round thanks!
Things look pretty tight at the top with us chasers waiting for Langakali to get the speedwobbles and falter at the last moment. Guess it will all come down to margins and the BoP v Northland game which looked to be the only 50/50 game when entries closed (or was until we all saw the team Northland named). -
KP, if the double points wildcard option is still available Hawkes Bay elect to invoke our 2018 entitlement this round thanks!
Things look pretty tight at the top with us chasers waiting for Langakali to get the speedwobbles and falter at the last moment. Guess it will all come down to margins and the BoP v Northland game which looked to be the only 50/50 game when entries closed (or was until we all saw the team Northland named). -
@higgins a post by KP on FB says all the NOrthland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...
@taniwharugby said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:
@higgins a post by KP on FB says all the Northland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...
That's not showing much faith in you outfit there TR or did you have some inkling on who would be named in the Northland team? Still there is a championship title at stake so sometimes principles have to be set aside. Congratulations on beating us 53 all last week by the way (does that make us even for 1969 now?), hope you can do the same to Wellington by the way.
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@taniwharugby said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:
@higgins a post by KP on FB says all the Northland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...
That's not showing much faith in you outfit there TR or did you have some inkling on who would be named in the Northland team? Still there is a championship title at stake so sometimes principles have to be set aside. Congratulations on beating us 53 all last week by the way (does that make us even for 1969 now?), hope you can do the same to Wellington by the way.
@higgins I knew we were carrying a big sick ward, we finished our game v Waikato with 2 hookers, 3 props and 3 loosies in our pack!
Decent side picked, but very inexperienced particularly numbers 4-8.
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Well no decisive move in the race for the title but the chasers lower down have all closed the gap meaning that there are 6 chasers within 10 of the lead. There isn't much difference in the picks for the final 2 games but Fiamacho could still snatch the title if Manawatu thrashes Southland.
Higgins and Stargazer are bound together and can't really pass Langakali. Tim might still compete with a narrow Auckland win and a big Manawatu win - I think.
The final looks like going to the wire with just a 2 point gap.
Langakali 418
Stargazer 414
Higgins 414
Fiamacho 413
Gunner 411
Tim 410
Winger 409
Victor 407
Hydro11 405
KP 402Final Northland 38 - 40 Wellington
3rd Hawke's Bay 30 - 36 Wairarapa Bush
Plate Harbour-Auckland 38 - 21 BOP
7th South Island 30 - 27 Counties-Waikato -
If Manawatu wins 17+, FIamacho wins. 9-16 and Langakali wins. 1-8 and Langakali wins by 1 from Stargazer and Higgins. If Southland wins, Langakali wins.
Langakali 425
Fiamacho 423
Stargazer 421
Higgins 421
Gunner 421
Tim 417
Winger 416
Victor 414
Hydro11 412
KP 409Final Northland 46 - 48 Wellington
3rd Hawke's Bay 37 - 44 Wairarapa Bush
Plate Harbour-Auckland 47 - 24 BOP
7th South Island 37 - 32 Counties-WaikatoCrucial 68 v 101 Tim
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Goodness things re tight for first, and equally so for third with three tied for the bronze with Gunner's storming finish set to grab the bronze at the death with the 'Poo expected to win pretty easily. All will be revealed in about 90 minutes when the gongs will be handed out.
Crucial will need a real miracle in the Cup. Looks like only an appeal to the IRB on some obscure point of law will be the only thing that might save him. -
Goodness things re tight for first, and equally so for third with three tied for the bronze with Gunner's storming finish set to grab the bronze at the death with the 'Poo expected to win pretty easily. All will be revealed in about 90 minutes when the gongs will be handed out.
Crucial will need a real miracle in the Cup. Looks like only an appeal to the IRB on some obscure point of law will be the only thing that might save him.@higgins said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:
Crucial will need a real miracle in the Cup. Looks like only an appeal to the IRB on some obscure point of law will be the only thing that might save him.
Not even a tweet to Gosper would have saved me once the Taniwha lost
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We are all done for the season .... and the winners are
Langakali is the overall champion - just holding on in the closest finish for years. 4 points was the winning margin over the fast finishing Gunner who moved up from 7th to 2nd in the final week. Fiamacho also on the podium but left to rue tipping late and missing the easy 10 in the first game that would have won the title.
Northland win the team title with a late run on the final game - 4 maximums and a 7 to Wellington's collection of 7s meant their team scored 3 more points overall to win by just a single point with the average score. Gunner and Cactus Jack cancelled each other out with superb 64s and TR's 59 was critical to the win.
Finally Tim wins the TSF Cup by an embarrassing 33 points but Crucial did have to gamble in the final week - but missed tipping the only upset of the round.
More tomorrow but I have updated all the files at https://www.thesilverfern.com/tipping/
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Strong finish for Northland, just like the real team, only this time we didn't let the opposition get out to an unassailable lead!
Great comp as always KP, your work is appreciated!
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Here's a wrap ... thanks to everyone who kept on tipping even if your performance was shite! Well done Northland winning your first title since 2008 (who was on both teams?). Look out for Super Rugby tipping early in 2019.
Top week - Fiamacho 74 in Week 5.
Worst week - Waynes World 16 in Week 1.
Most results picked correctly - Gunner 54 out of 70 (Tim & Langakali 53)
Most results with margins picked correctly - Fiamacho 25Week 9 scores
Gunner 64
DK 64
Cactus Jack 64
Hooroo 61
Phooey 61
Victor 59
Virgil 59
TR 59
Triple T 58
Broughie 57
Hydro11 56
Smudge 56
Winger 54
KP 54
FarNthHayden 54
Justin77 53
Tim 51
Stockcar86 51
Laurence 51
Hurrycanes 51
Mikedogz 51
Fiamacho 49
Plastered Peni 49
Bay Imports 47
Langakali 46
Higgins 46
Buck 46
Joan and Mary 46
Dogmeat 46
Corkscrew 45
Stargazer 43
Donsteppa 43
Propsicle 43
Paj 42
Richie 40
Unite 35
Crucial 34
Waynes World 31
Trooa 26
Antipodean 26
Clara 26
Sportboy 26
ACT Crusader 26 -
Here's a wrap ... thanks to everyone who kept on tipping even if your performance was shite! Well done Northland winning your first title since 2008 (who was on both teams?). Look out for Super Rugby tipping early in 2019.
Top week - Fiamacho 74 in Week 5.
Worst week - Waynes World 16 in Week 1.
Most results picked correctly - Gunner 54 out of 70 (Tim & Langakali 53)
Most results with margins picked correctly - Fiamacho 25Week 9 scores
Gunner 64
DK 64
Cactus Jack 64
Hooroo 61
Phooey 61
Victor 59
Virgil 59
TR 59
Triple T 58
Broughie 57
Hydro11 56
Smudge 56
Winger 54
KP 54
FarNthHayden 54
Justin77 53
Tim 51
Stockcar86 51
Laurence 51
Hurrycanes 51
Mikedogz 51
Fiamacho 49
Plastered Peni 49
Bay Imports 47
Langakali 46
Higgins 46
Buck 46
Joan and Mary 46
Dogmeat 46
Corkscrew 45
Stargazer 43
Donsteppa 43
Propsicle 43
Paj 42
Richie 40
Unite 35
Crucial 34
Waynes World 31
Trooa 26
Antipodean 26
Clara 26
Sportboy 26
ACT Crusader 26
