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TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved TSF Competitions
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  • CrucialC Crucial

    @kiwipie said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:

    Finally in the TSF Cup, Crucial rose to the big occasion by posting one of the worst scores of the weekend and Tim takes a 16 point lead into the second leg.

    I have taken lots of notes this weekend on how to engineer a comeback win. Currently waiting on a phone call from Cheika before putting in this weeks tips.

    KiwiPieK Offline
    KiwiPieK Offline
    KiwiPie
    wrote on last edited by
    #111

    @crucial If you're going to lose, go down in a blaze of glory and pick Southland to win twice and Otago to take the Shield.

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    • KiwiPieK Offline
      KiwiPieK Offline
      KiwiPie
      wrote on last edited by
      #112

      It's the final week of TSF Tipping for 2018. After today, you can put your feet up until February.

      https://www.thesilverfern.com/current-tipping-form/

      FINAL
      Northland v Wellington

      CUP FINAL
      Crucial 41 v 57 Tim

      TOP 10
      Langakali 389
      Stargazer 385
      Higgins 382
      Fiamacho 381
      Tim 373
      Winger 369
      Gunner 367
      Donsteppa 366
      Hydro11 363
      KP, Victor 362

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      • KiwiPieK Offline
        KiwiPieK Offline
        KiwiPie
        wrote on last edited by
        #113

        Almost everyone went Auckland 17+ so no real change - except Fiamacho tipped late and effectively has removed himself from the contest and Tim moves into 4th spot.

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        • CrucialC Offline
          CrucialC Offline
          Crucial
          wrote on last edited by
          #114

          In case anyone is interested in my plan to emulate the Wobblies and mount an epic second half comeback (ie decide to start playing) in the Cup match.

          So far I am still 16 points adrift of Tim as we both had the same selections for the first three picks. I get a chance to start clawing back (or dig a deeper hole) tomorrow as we have gone opposite ways on the Northland/BOP game.
          We have also gone opposites for the Battle of the bridge and have margin differences for the Shield game and the Poo v Stags game.

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          • KiwiPieK Offline
            KiwiPieK Offline
            KiwiPie
            wrote on last edited by
            #115

            As Crucial has summarised the TSF Cup Final - here is progress on the rest.

            Langakali retains a slim 4 point lead but Higgins has joined Stargazer in 2nd place. Fiamacho would be level at the top if he had tipped on time - as he gained maximums from the next 2 games.

            Wellington with the early advantage due to Fiamacho turning up late but all to play for still. Interestingly all the Northland team has picked BOP to win while a couple of Wellingtonians have gone for Northland.

            Langakali 411
            Stargazer 407
            Higgins 407
            Fiamacho 401
            Tim 395
            Gunner 394
            Winger 394
            KP 392
            Victor 392
            Donsteppa 388
            Hydro11 388

            Final Northland 23 - 25 Wellington
            3rd Hawke's Bay 21 - 26 Wairarapa Bush
            Plate Harbour-Auckland 19 - 15 BOP
            7th South Island 19 - 16 Counties-Waikato

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            • HigginsH Offline
              HigginsH Offline
              Higgins
              wrote on last edited by Higgins
              #116

              KP, if the double points wildcard option is still available Hawkes Bay elect to invoke our 2018 entitlement this round thanks!
              Things look pretty tight at the top with us chasers waiting for Langakali to get the speedwobbles and falter at the last moment. Guess it will all come down to margins and the BoP v Northland game which looked to be the only 50/50 game when entries closed (or was until we all saw the team Northland named).

              taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
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              • HigginsH Higgins

                KP, if the double points wildcard option is still available Hawkes Bay elect to invoke our 2018 entitlement this round thanks!
                Things look pretty tight at the top with us chasers waiting for Langakali to get the speedwobbles and falter at the last moment. Guess it will all come down to margins and the BoP v Northland game which looked to be the only 50/50 game when entries closed (or was until we all saw the team Northland named).

                taniwharugbyT Offline
                taniwharugbyT Offline
                taniwharugby
                wrote on last edited by
                #117

                @higgins a post by KP on FB says all the NOrthland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...

                HigginsH 1 Reply Last reply
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                • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

                  @higgins a post by KP on FB says all the NOrthland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...

                  HigginsH Offline
                  HigginsH Offline
                  Higgins
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #118

                  @taniwharugby said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:

                  @higgins a post by KP on FB says all the Northland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...

                  That's not showing much faith in you outfit there TR or did you have some inkling on who would be named in the Northland team? Still there is a championship title at stake so sometimes principles have to be set aside. Congratulations on beating us 53 all last week by the way (does that make us even for 1969 now?), hope you can do the same to Wellington by the way.

                  taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • HigginsH Higgins

                    @taniwharugby said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:

                    @higgins a post by KP on FB says all the Northland lads tipped BOP and 2 Welly tippers went for Northland...

                    That's not showing much faith in you outfit there TR or did you have some inkling on who would be named in the Northland team? Still there is a championship title at stake so sometimes principles have to be set aside. Congratulations on beating us 53 all last week by the way (does that make us even for 1969 now?), hope you can do the same to Wellington by the way.

                    taniwharugbyT Offline
                    taniwharugbyT Offline
                    taniwharugby
                    wrote on last edited by taniwharugby
                    #119

                    @higgins I knew we were carrying a big sick ward, we finished our game v Waikato with 2 hookers, 3 props and 3 loosies in our pack!

                    Decent side picked, but very inexperienced particularly numbers 4-8.

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                    • HigginsH Offline
                      HigginsH Offline
                      Higgins
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #120

                      Good luck for the game this afternoon, hope you put 'em to the sword. I've always liked the way Northland play (except for when the play HB of course), generally exciting to watch even in defeat.

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                      • KiwiPieK Offline
                        KiwiPieK Offline
                        KiwiPie
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #121

                        Well no decisive move in the race for the title but the chasers lower down have all closed the gap meaning that there are 6 chasers within 10 of the lead. There isn't much difference in the picks for the final 2 games but Fiamacho could still snatch the title if Manawatu thrashes Southland.

                        Higgins and Stargazer are bound together and can't really pass Langakali. Tim might still compete with a narrow Auckland win and a big Manawatu win - I think.

                        The final looks like going to the wire with just a 2 point gap.

                        Langakali 418
                        Stargazer 414
                        Higgins 414
                        Fiamacho 413
                        Gunner 411
                        Tim 410
                        Winger 409
                        Victor 407
                        Hydro11 405
                        KP 402

                        Final Northland 38 - 40 Wellington
                        3rd Hawke's Bay 30 - 36 Wairarapa Bush
                        Plate Harbour-Auckland 38 - 21 BOP
                        7th South Island 30 - 27 Counties-Waikato

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                        • KiwiPieK Offline
                          KiwiPieK Offline
                          KiwiPie
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #122

                          If Manawatu wins 17+, FIamacho wins. 9-16 and Langakali wins. 1-8 and Langakali wins by 1 from Stargazer and Higgins. If Southland wins, Langakali wins.

                          Langakali 425
                          Fiamacho 423
                          Stargazer 421
                          Higgins 421
                          Gunner 421
                          Tim 417
                          Winger 416
                          Victor 414
                          Hydro11 412
                          KP 409

                          Final Northland 46 - 48 Wellington
                          3rd Hawke's Bay 37 - 44 Wairarapa Bush
                          Plate Harbour-Auckland 47 - 24 BOP
                          7th South Island 37 - 32 Counties-Waikato

                          Crucial 68 v 101 Tim

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                          • HigginsH Offline
                            HigginsH Offline
                            Higgins
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #123

                            Goodness things re tight for first, and equally so for third with three tied for the bronze with Gunner's storming finish set to grab the bronze at the death with the 'Poo expected to win pretty easily. All will be revealed in about 90 minutes when the gongs will be handed out.
                            Crucial will need a real miracle in the Cup. Looks like only an appeal to the IRB on some obscure point of law will be the only thing that might save him.

                            CrucialC 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • CrucialC Offline
                              CrucialC Offline
                              Crucial
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #124

                              Congrats @Tim
                              A deserved win. I somehow flunked my run to the final much like England in the 2007 RWC.
                              Still had a chance in the last round but should have known better than to put faith in teams with ‘North’ in their names..

                              TimT 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • HigginsH Higgins

                                Goodness things re tight for first, and equally so for third with three tied for the bronze with Gunner's storming finish set to grab the bronze at the death with the 'Poo expected to win pretty easily. All will be revealed in about 90 minutes when the gongs will be handed out.
                                Crucial will need a real miracle in the Cup. Looks like only an appeal to the IRB on some obscure point of law will be the only thing that might save him.

                                CrucialC Offline
                                CrucialC Offline
                                Crucial
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #125

                                @higgins said in TSF Mitre 10 Cup Tipping 2018:

                                Crucial will need a real miracle in the Cup. Looks like only an appeal to the IRB on some obscure point of law will be the only thing that might save him.

                                Not even a tweet to Gosper would have saved me once the Taniwha lost

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                                • KiwiPieK Offline
                                  KiwiPieK Offline
                                  KiwiPie
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #126

                                  We are all done for the season .... and the winners are

                                  Langakali is the overall champion - just holding on in the closest finish for years. 4 points was the winning margin over the fast finishing Gunner who moved up from 7th to 2nd in the final week. Fiamacho also on the podium but left to rue tipping late and missing the easy 10 in the first game that would have won the title.

                                  Northland win the team title with a late run on the final game - 4 maximums and a 7 to Wellington's collection of 7s meant their team scored 3 more points overall to win by just a single point with the average score. Gunner and Cactus Jack cancelled each other out with superb 64s and TR's 59 was critical to the win.

                                  Finally Tim wins the TSF Cup by an embarrassing 33 points but Crucial did have to gamble in the final week - but missed tipping the only upset of the round.

                                  More tomorrow but I have updated all the files at https://www.thesilverfern.com/tipping/

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                                  • taniwharugbyT Offline
                                    taniwharugbyT Offline
                                    taniwharugby
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #127

                                    Strong finish for Northland, just like the real team, only this time we didn't let the opposition get out to an unassailable lead!

                                    Great comp as always KP, your work is appreciated!

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                                    • KiwiPieK Offline
                                      KiwiPieK Offline
                                      KiwiPie
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #128

                                      Here's a wrap ... thanks to everyone who kept on tipping even if your performance was shite! Well done Northland winning your first title since 2008 (who was on both teams?). Look out for Super Rugby tipping early in 2019.

                                      Top week - Fiamacho 74 in Week 5.
                                      Worst week - Waynes World 16 in Week 1.
                                      Most results picked correctly - Gunner 54 out of 70 (Tim & Langakali 53)
                                      Most results with margins picked correctly - Fiamacho 25

                                      Week 9 scores

                                      0_1539543872052_51e171cb-baca-4849-ae62-8969d3e94ff9-image.png Gunner 64
                                      DK 64
                                      Cactus Jack 64
                                      Hooroo 61
                                      Phooey 61
                                      Victor 59
                                      Virgil 59
                                      TR 59
                                      Triple T 58
                                      Broughie 57
                                      Hydro11 56
                                      Smudge 56
                                      Winger 54
                                      KP 54
                                      FarNthHayden 54
                                      Justin77 53
                                      Tim 51
                                      Stockcar86 51
                                      Laurence 51
                                      Hurrycanes 51
                                      Mikedogz 51
                                      Fiamacho 49
                                      Plastered Peni 49
                                      Bay Imports 47
                                      Langakali 46
                                      Higgins 46
                                      Buck 46
                                      Joan and Mary 46
                                      Dogmeat 46
                                      Corkscrew 45
                                      Stargazer 43
                                      Donsteppa 43
                                      Propsicle 43
                                      Paj 42
                                      Richie 40
                                      Unite 35
                                      Crucial 34
                                      Waynes World 31
                                      Trooa 26
                                      Antipodean 26
                                      Clara 26
                                      Sportboy 26
                                      ACT Crusader 26

                                      taniwharugbyT 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • KiwiPieK KiwiPie

                                        Here's a wrap ... thanks to everyone who kept on tipping even if your performance was shite! Well done Northland winning your first title since 2008 (who was on both teams?). Look out for Super Rugby tipping early in 2019.

                                        Top week - Fiamacho 74 in Week 5.
                                        Worst week - Waynes World 16 in Week 1.
                                        Most results picked correctly - Gunner 54 out of 70 (Tim & Langakali 53)
                                        Most results with margins picked correctly - Fiamacho 25

                                        Week 9 scores

                                        0_1539543872052_51e171cb-baca-4849-ae62-8969d3e94ff9-image.png Gunner 64
                                        DK 64
                                        Cactus Jack 64
                                        Hooroo 61
                                        Phooey 61
                                        Victor 59
                                        Virgil 59
                                        TR 59
                                        Triple T 58
                                        Broughie 57
                                        Hydro11 56
                                        Smudge 56
                                        Winger 54
                                        KP 54
                                        FarNthHayden 54
                                        Justin77 53
                                        Tim 51
                                        Stockcar86 51
                                        Laurence 51
                                        Hurrycanes 51
                                        Mikedogz 51
                                        Fiamacho 49
                                        Plastered Peni 49
                                        Bay Imports 47
                                        Langakali 46
                                        Higgins 46
                                        Buck 46
                                        Joan and Mary 46
                                        Dogmeat 46
                                        Corkscrew 45
                                        Stargazer 43
                                        Donsteppa 43
                                        Propsicle 43
                                        Paj 42
                                        Richie 40
                                        Unite 35
                                        Crucial 34
                                        Waynes World 31
                                        Trooa 26
                                        Antipodean 26
                                        Clara 26
                                        Sportboy 26
                                        ACT Crusader 26

                                        taniwharugbyT Offline
                                        taniwharugbyT Offline
                                        taniwharugby
                                        wrote on last edited by taniwharugby
                                        #129

                                        @kiwipie I reckon me, J77, FarNorthHayden & Gunner would all have been in the 2008 squad!

                                        It was the fresh face of Fiamacho that helped though

                                        KiwiPieK 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • CrucialC Crucial

                                          Congrats @Tim
                                          A deserved win. I somehow flunked my run to the final much like England in the 2007 RWC.
                                          Still had a chance in the last round but should have known better than to put faith in teams with ‘North’ in their names..

                                          TimT Away
                                          TimT Away
                                          Tim
                                          wrote on last edited by Tim
                                          #130

                                          @crucial Thank you dude.

                                          A lot easier to tip when your team is doing well.

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