AB squad for the Rugby Championship
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@nzzp said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win
that is insane odds when you think about the last 12 months
Win/loss/draw to South Africa (2 at home) who are in our pool
Lost to Ireland
Beat England by a point (and an inch)
Just held on against Argentina.Fuck, Beteasy have us at $1.85. I wouldn't even look at a horse paying that!!
@mariner4life New Zealand were also massive favourites to win the Rugby Championship, which I thought was insane. Weren't SA paying nearly $5 last week?
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@mofitzy_ said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@Stargazer said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@mofitzy_ Who says Todd won't start in pool games (if Ardie is starting at 8 ) and Read gets a rest?
He almost certainly will. You could easily play Jacobson or Papalii at 7 in the tier 2 pool games though.
But why, when Todd is a better player and has proven himself over a number of years. You can start Todd against Tier 1 or 2 nation, without any issue. The other two whilst talented simply aren’t ready.
@ACT-Crusader said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@mofitzy_ said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@Stargazer said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@mofitzy_ Who says Todd won't start in pool games (if Ardie is starting at 8 ) and Read gets a rest?
He almost certainly will. You could easily play Jacobson or Papalii at 7 in the tier 2 pool games though.
But why, when Todd is a better player and has proven himself over a number of years. You can start Todd against Tier 1 or 2 nation, without any issue. The other two whilst talented simply aren’t ready.
Because the others can play multiple positions whilst also being the 3rd option at 7 in the squad.
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This selection for the first Bledisloe Test will give us a good idea of What Hansen is thinking for a Top 23.Unless all his rhetoric of the Bledisloe cup having great importance than the RC is another smokescreen.
Scott Barrett or Jason Hempo at 6 or we are going with Savea,Read,Cane not Fifitia that gives me less confidence in Hansen if that happens I don't want to see him in the 23.
I like Jacobsen but I can't see him being in the starting 15 this season. -
Hookers: Dane Coles, Liam Coltman and Codie Taylor
Props: Owen Franks, Nepo Laulala, Joe Moody, Atu Moli, Angus Ta'avao and Ofa Tuungafasi
Locks: Scott Barrett, Jackson Hemopo, Patrick Tuipulotu and Samuel Whitelock
Loose forwards: Sam Cane, Vaea Fifita, Luke Jacobson, Kieran Read, Ardie Savea and Matt Todd
Halfbacks: TJ Perenara, Aaron Smith and Brad Weber
First five-eighths: Beauden Barrett and Richie Mo'unga
Midfielders: Jack Goodhue, Ngani Laumape, Anton Lienert-Brown and Sonny Bill Williams
Utility backs: Braydon Ennor and Jordie Barrett
Outside backs: George Bridge, Rieko Ioane, Sevu Reece and Ben Smith
- Retallick certain, Crotty highly likely, Squire who knows, Perry doubt it
So I'd say there are 5 names to omit.
Hookers we have our RWC selection there. They HAVE to give Coltman another appearance IMO to show he can actually throw.
Props - Franks, Moody and Tuungafasi are certainties, after that I have no idea who will be unlucky, maybe Laulala
Locks - Not even sure if they take 4, probably depends if Retallick is fit from game 1. I thought they told us Hemopo wasn't a lock? I reckon Tuipolotou is most likely to miss out: only plays lock, and was pants in the first game
Loose forwards - I'd say Fafita an obvious choice to be omitted, which means he's no doubt nailed down as starting 6. If they are not going to move Read or Cane to 6, nor start Barrett, then I hope Jacobson and not Fafita gets Bledisloe 1.
Halfbacks - we have our RWC selection there
First-fives - ditto. They will take two, and probably TJP as emergency cover while waiting for Ioane to fly out if injury strikes (minimum 48 hrs in squad before allowed to take field)
Midfield - It's probably Laumape vs SBW or Crotty to be dropped. When was the last time the ABs played the same midfield 2 tests in a row?
Outside backs - Hopefully they give Ennor some more time, but I'm really uncertain to their thinking, other than that Ben Smith and you would think Reiko are certainties.
I can't remember such uncertainty around squad selection since maybe Laurie Mains took over from Griz and you weren't sure what his first selection would bring.
It will be a thing of genius if Hansen pulls this off.
@Billy-Tell In the props I think it will be Moli vs Perry and Ta'avao vs Laulala. Tim Perry has played one game and five minutes of another this year, so loosehead is Moli's to lose.
Basically Angus vs Nepo and I think Angus' mobility will win it for him.
I heard Sumo on the radio saying the selections are indicative that the ABs are hellbent on playing the game at pace, which rings true.
I wouldn't write Josh Ioane out of the equation yet. If they are planning on playing Richie and Beauden together in the big games then that's lots of workload and even more risk of a first five injury. If Beauden is slated to play fullback I'd take Ioane and probably leave Jordie at home.
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In the forwards, I would start Laulala as he needs meaningful minutes. The other starting lock will dictate who plays no.6. I would pair Hemopo with Whitelock and bring Patty T off the bench. I am assuming Barrett isn't fit.
BUT if they put Fifita at 6 then their decision has been made. :disappointed_face:
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@nzzp said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
If you fancy some loss insurance, Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win. Then England, SA, Wales, Ireland in the $7-10 range.
Just saying - a lazy 500 returns you a couple of hundy to drown your sorrows if we (as expected) shit our pants in public
I don't bet on that scale, but I'll be tempted to put something decent on Australia and South Africa. If anyone else wins, then we'll still have the most Cups. But if the yellow or green bastards do, then we'll only be equal best. And that will piss me off something chronic.
I'd quite enjoy a Wales or Ireland win, if it can't be us.
@Chester-Draws said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@nzzp said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
If you fancy some loss insurance, Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win. Then England, SA, Wales, Ireland in the $7-10 range.
Just saying - a lazy 500 returns you a couple of hundy to drown your sorrows if we (as expected) shit our pants in public
I don't bet on that scale, but I'll be tempted to put something decent on Australia and South Africa. If anyone else wins, then we'll still have the most Cups. But if the yellow or green bastards do, then we'll only be equal best. And that will piss me off something chronic.
I'd quite enjoy a Wales or Ireland win, if it can't be us.
Not sure what you are talking about. There have only been three RWC if my memory serves me right. 1987 2011 2015. Still unconfirmed if this year's one will go ahead. Ask my late oct and I will let you know.
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@nzzp said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
If you fancy some loss insurance, Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win. Then England, SA, Wales, Ireland in the $7-10 range.
Just saying - a lazy 500 returns you a couple of hundy to drown your sorrows if we (as expected) shit our pants in public
I don't bet on that scale, but I'll be tempted to put something decent on Australia and South Africa. If anyone else wins, then we'll still have the most Cups. But if the yellow or green bastards do, then we'll only be equal best. And that will piss me off something chronic.
I'd quite enjoy a Wales or Ireland win, if it can't be us.
@Chester-Draws said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@nzzp said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
If you fancy some loss insurance, Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win. Then England, SA, Wales, Ireland in the $7-10 range.
Just saying - a lazy 500 returns you a couple of hundy to drown your sorrows if we (as expected) shit our pants in public
I don't bet on that scale,
Honestly, I dont' bet! But if I did, I'd be spending the kids inheritance on loss insurance and feeling good about it
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It's fascinating to witness a TSF meltdown over a squad selection. :smiling_face_with_open_mouth:
@Stargazer said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
It's fascinating to witness a TSF meltdown over a squad selection. :smiling_face_with_open_mouth:
This is a Sunday picnic in comparison with the TSF meltdowns about selection that used to happen during the Mitchell era.
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@Billy-Tell In the props I think it will be Moli vs Perry and Ta'avao vs Laulala. Tim Perry has played one game and five minutes of another this year, so loosehead is Moli's to lose.
Basically Angus vs Nepo and I think Angus' mobility will win it for him.
I heard Sumo on the radio saying the selections are indicative that the ABs are hellbent on playing the game at pace, which rings true.
I wouldn't write Josh Ioane out of the equation yet. If they are planning on playing Richie and Beauden together in the big games then that's lots of workload and even more risk of a first five injury. If Beauden is slated to play fullback I'd take Ioane and probably leave Jordie at home.
@Chris-B said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@Billy-Tell In the props I think it will be Moli vs Perry and Ta'avao vs Laulala. Tim Perry has played one game and five minutes of another this year, so loosehead is Moli's to lose.
Basically Angus vs Nepo and I think Angus' mobility will win it for him.
I heard Sumo on the radio saying the selections are indicative that the ABs are hellbent on playing the game at pace, which rings true.
I wouldn't write Josh Ioane out of the equation yet. If they are planning on playing Richie and Beauden together in the big games then that's lots of workload and even more risk of a first five injury. If Beauden is slated to play fullback I'd take Ioane and probably leave Jordie at home.
has josh played much fullback? i like him, he has the skills, but jeez, not much experience - a big part of the 2 playmakers experiment on the weekend (which hasn't got much discussion on here) was us defending with 2 fullbacks - and they were more often than not barrett and mounga... and that's with ben smiith on a wing.
i reckon if we get an injury to barrett or mounga we'd be straight back to smith at fullback and the old gameplan. mckenzie could slot in, but it would be too big a risk with ioane. -
@Chris-B said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@Billy-Tell In the props I think it will be Moli vs Perry and Ta'avao vs Laulala. Tim Perry has played one game and five minutes of another this year, so loosehead is Moli's to lose.
Basically Angus vs Nepo and I think Angus' mobility will win it for him.
I heard Sumo on the radio saying the selections are indicative that the ABs are hellbent on playing the game at pace, which rings true.
I wouldn't write Josh Ioane out of the equation yet. If they are planning on playing Richie and Beauden together in the big games then that's lots of workload and even more risk of a first five injury. If Beauden is slated to play fullback I'd take Ioane and probably leave Jordie at home.
has josh played much fullback? i like him, he has the skills, but jeez, not much experience - a big part of the 2 playmakers experiment on the weekend (which hasn't got much discussion on here) was us defending with 2 fullbacks - and they were more often than not barrett and mounga... and that's with ben smiith on a wing.
i reckon if we get an injury to barrett or mounga we'd be straight back to smith at fullback and the old gameplan. mckenzie could slot in, but it would be too big a risk with ioane.@reprobate said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
has josh played much fullback?
Sometimes
Last time I remember him playing there he had an absolute shocker at NPC level. I think it was a knock-out game too
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@reprobate said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
has josh played much fullback?
Sometimes
Last time I remember him playing there he had an absolute shocker at NPC level. I think it was a knock-out game too
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If you fancy some loss insurance, Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win. Then England, SA, Wales, Ireland in the $7-10 range.
Just saying - a lazy 500 returns you a couple of hundy to drown your sorrows if we (as expected) shit our pants in public
@nzzp said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
If you fancy some loss insurance, Betfair has NZ at $2.40 favourites to win. Then England, SA, Wales, Ireland in the $7-10 range.
Just saying - a lazy 500 returns you a couple of hundy to drown your sorrows if we (as expected) shit our pants in public
Wales looking like the team to beat in 2019 at the moment.
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@mariner4life said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
it's the 10 situation leading up to 2011 all over again. They tried everyone, and no one stepped up.
Pretty apt comparison. In both cases we had the Help Wanted sign out the front of the shop for a fair while for that position both cases the selectors were dealt a bit of a dud hand through injuries and age curves which was compounded by a scattergun selection process that should have been far more methodical.
Irregardless I'm not sure there is an obvious solution that was missed in either case, so I'll hardly be calling for their head over the loose trio...
now the lack of a midfield after four years... that is a different story.
@rotated said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@mariner4life said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
it's the 10 situation leading up to 2011 all over again. They tried everyone, and no one stepped up.
Pretty apt comparison. In both cases we had the Help Wanted sign out the front of the shop for a fair while for that position both cases the selectors were dealt a bit of a dud hand through injuries and age curves which was compounded by a scattergun selection process that should have been far more methodical.
Irregardless I'm not sure there is an obvious solution that was missed in either case, so I'll hardly be calling for their head over the loose trio...
now the lack of a midfield after four years... that is a different story.
I know he had his issues, but better management of Luatua, when they knew Kaino was not going to be part of this RWC squad, could have gone some way to avoiding the situation we now find ourselves in.
As for the midfield, I think should have identified after the Lions series two years ago that Crotty and SBW simply couldn't be relied upon (either to stay fit or not do dumb shit). At that stage, and looking at the decent job they did in test 3, TWM should have picked ALB and Laumape as their preferred to starting combo (I think we may have got more out of BB by picking his Super Rugby partner also). A year later when Goodhue bursts onto the scene, it's a pretty simple transition to swap him in for whoever out of ALB or Laumape. Crotty and SBW could still be part of the broader picture, probably still playing as many tests as they have to date given their injuries, but the other guys who have had a proper opportunity to develop their combinations.
Had they taken this approach, we'd have a very settled midfield leading into this Cup - the polar opposite to what we have coming into this World Cup.
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To me, Mo'unga at 10, Crotty at 12 and Goodhue at 13 looks pretty settled, albeit in a different jersey.
@Stargazer said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
To me, Mo'unga at 10, Crotty at 12 and Goodhue at 13 looks pretty settled, albeit in a different jersey.
It does, but as I said above, Crotty's not been able to get on the field for love nor money.
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@Stargazer said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
To me, Mo'unga at 10, Crotty at 12 and Goodhue at 13 looks pretty settled, albeit in a different jersey.
It does, but as I said above, Crotty's not been able to get on the field for love nor money.
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@Bovidae sadly I dont think that will be the combo wearing 12/13
@taniwharugby said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
@Bovidae sadly I dont think that will be the combo wearing 12/13
Who knows about the RWC but Laumape is the only other midfielder in the squad for Bled 1. SBW probably still their man at 2nd 5.
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To me, Mo'unga at 10, Crotty at 12 and Goodhue at 13 looks pretty settled, albeit in a different jersey.
@Stargazer said in AB squad for the Rugby Championship:
To me, Mo'unga at 10, Crotty at 12 and Goodhue at 13 looks pretty settled, albeit in a different jersey.
I'd be happy with that, but I don't like Crotty's chances of making it through any campaign unscathed. That guy must have suffered more injuries than bloody Evel Knievel.
