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Crusaders v Hurricanes

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Rugby Matches
crusadershurricanes
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  • HigginsH Higgins

    @nzbloke said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    @higgins said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    @nzbloke said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    He did his 5 weeks, people should move on, it only becomes a problem if he repeats it again.

    Evil Bstad Brenton Tarrant has not murdered anyone since March 2019. Thankfully he won't get a chance to repeat it again but that does not make it all good.

    Ridiculous to compare a mass murderer to a bloke that got banned for a few weeks in a sports team... Aaron Smith was involved in that toilet incident, but doesn't mean people should keep putting the boot into him about it.

    I will take the time to point out that referee abuse, either verbal or physical, can (and still is almost always applied) result in a life ban from the sport which is the same penalty in all essence as for murder. Mr. O'Reilly can count his lucky stars over the leniency of his penalty. I know of one supporter with an association with one the clubs I support doing a twenty week all rugby grounds ban for rather impolitely suggesting a touch judge up their game and open both eyes for a change. The club involved fully supported the touchie, as they damn well should have, even though there were a couple of inaccuracies in their report.
    Incidentally A. Smith was not married at he time of the consensual toilet liaison and it was certainly not an illegal activity and more than likely was jealously admired by those in the know.

    antipodeanA Offline
    antipodeanA Offline
    antipodean
    wrote on last edited by
    #346

    @higgins said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    @nzbloke said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    @higgins said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    @nzbloke said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

    He did his 5 weeks, people should move on, it only becomes a problem if he repeats it again.

    Evil Bstad Brenton Tarrant has not murdered anyone since March 2019. Thankfully he won't get a chance to repeat it again but that does not make it all good.

    Ridiculous to compare a mass murderer to a bloke that got banned for a few weeks in a sports team... Aaron Smith was involved in that toilet incident, but doesn't mean people should keep putting the boot into him about it.

    I will take the time to point out that referee abuse, either verbal or physical, can (and still is almost always applied) result in a life ban from the sport which is the same penalty in all essence as for murder. Mr. O'Reilly can count his lucky stars over the leniency of his penalty. I know of one supporter with an association with one the clubs I support doing a twenty week all rugby grounds ban for rather impolitely suggesting a touch judge up their game and open both eyes for a change. The club involved fully supported the touchie, as they damn well should have, even though there were a couple of inaccuracies in their report.

    The issue with referees is the (IMO) vast distinction between amateurs and professionals. It is unfathomable to me that the current crop of professionals don't seem to be held to a standard. They should be held to public scrutiny a lot more than they are.

    That's entirely different to the amateur who gives up their time for the benefit of others. An yes, I'm aware there are those in our midst who are too stupid to discern the difference and would equate professional accountability with the ability to abuse amateurs.

    1 Reply Last reply
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    • antipodeanA antipodean

      @stargazer said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

      @higgins said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

      @nzbloke said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

      @higgins said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

      @nzbloke said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

      He did his 5 weeks, people should move on, it only becomes a problem if he repeats it again.

      Evil Bstad Brenton Tarrant has not murdered anyone since March 2019. Thankfully he won't get a chance to repeat it again but that does not make it all good.

      Ridiculous to compare a mass murderer to a bloke that got banned for a few weeks in a sports team... Aaron Smith was involved in that toilet incident, but doesn't mean people should keep putting the boot into him about it.

      I will take the time to point out that referee abuse, either verbal or physical, can (and still is almost always applied) result in a life ban from the sport which is the same penalty in all essence as for murder. Mr. O'Reilly count his lucky stars over the lienancy of his penalty. I know of one supporter with an association with one the clubs I support doing a twenty week all rugby grounds ban for rather impolitely suggesting a touch judge up their game and open both eyes for a change. T
      Incidentally A. Smith was not married at he time of the consensual toilet liaison and was certainly not an illegal activity and more than likely was jealously admired by those in the know.

      Agree with most of this, but not being married is irrelevant. He was in a relationship (with his current wife).

      That's a matter for them.

      StargazerS Offline
      StargazerS Offline
      Stargazer
      wrote on last edited by
      #347

      @antipodean Agree. I wasn't claiming otherwise.

      1 Reply Last reply
      2
      • StargazerS Stargazer

        @nzbloke I see he has at least one fan on the Fern. :grinning_face_with_smiling_eyes:

        C Offline
        C Offline
        cgrant
        wrote on last edited by
        #348

        @stargazer said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

        @nzbloke I see he has at least one fan on the Fern. :grinning_face_with_smiling_eyes:

        Two. I was the one who wrote Reilly was good against the Crusaders.

        1 Reply Last reply
        0
        • F foobaNZ

          Going for the corner was absolutely the right call.

          Whether it's normal time or golden point, you want to be in the best position to win the game. That was the opportunity.

          How they try and score is a another story, quick ball and up the midfield would be a better idea due to our known weakness trying to score tight forward tries.

          Put Jordie in the pocket for a droppie or keep phasing.

          taniwharugbyT Offline
          taniwharugbyT Offline
          taniwharugby
          wrote on last edited by taniwharugby
          #349

          @foobanz said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

          Going for the corner was absolutely the right call.

          Whether it's normal time or golden point, you want to be in the best position to win the game. That was the opportunity.

          How they try and score is a another story, quick ball and up the midfield would be a better idea due to our known weakness trying to score tight forward tries.

          Put Jordie in the pocket for a droppie or keep phasing.

          Why would you go for the corner, then set Jordie up for a droppie?

          If you go for the corner, you definitely don't want to try and maul, when your maul hasn't been great.

          F 1 Reply Last reply
          2
          • taniwharugbyT taniwharugby

            @foobanz said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

            Going for the corner was absolutely the right call.

            Whether it's normal time or golden point, you want to be in the best position to win the game. That was the opportunity.

            How they try and score is a another story, quick ball and up the midfield would be a better idea due to our known weakness trying to score tight forward tries.

            Put Jordie in the pocket for a droppie or keep phasing.

            Why would you go for the corner, then set Jordie up for a droppie?

            If you go for the corner, you definitely don't want to try and maul, when your maul hasn't been great.

            F Offline
            F Offline
            foobaNZ
            wrote on last edited by
            #350

            @taniwharugby I'm not saying corner then droppie, I'm saying go for the corner, then try and score.

            Maybe you try and maul it, but not exactly a Canes strength.

            I'd probably just keep it simple, ball at the front, crash up the midfield, then jump in the pocket after a few phases if you've got a clear shot in front.

            But my main point was that going for the corner was the right idea as opposed to trying to go to golden point.

            DuluthD 1 Reply Last reply
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            • F foobaNZ

              @taniwharugby I'm not saying corner then droppie, I'm saying go for the corner, then try and score.

              Maybe you try and maul it, but not exactly a Canes strength.

              I'd probably just keep it simple, ball at the front, crash up the midfield, then jump in the pocket after a few phases if you've got a clear shot in front.

              But my main point was that going for the corner was the right idea as opposed to trying to go to golden point.

              DuluthD Offline
              DuluthD Offline
              Duluth
              wrote on last edited by Duluth
              #351

              @foobanz said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

              But my main point was that going for the corner was the right idea as opposed to trying to go to golden point.

              It's the correct decision if the Canes thought they were fading and the Crusaders were fresher for some reason (lots of disruption in the lead up, maybe some covid recovery etc)

              1 Reply Last reply
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              • KiwiMurphK Offline
                KiwiMurphK Offline
                KiwiMurph
                wrote on last edited by
                #352

                Isn't there a stat that the Crusaders have never conceded a rolling maul lineout drive try under Razor/Jase Ryan?

                A M 2 Replies Last reply
                1
                • KiwiMurphK KiwiMurph

                  Isn't there a stat that the Crusaders have never conceded a rolling maul lineout drive try under Razor/Jase Ryan?

                  A Offline
                  A Offline
                  African Monkey
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #353

                  @kiwimurph Yup and teams still try and take them on there.......

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • KiwiMurphK KiwiMurph

                    Isn't there a stat that the Crusaders have never conceded a rolling maul lineout drive try under Razor/Jase Ryan?

                    M Offline
                    M Offline
                    Machpants
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #354

                    @kiwimurph said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                    Isn't there a stat that the Crusaders have never conceded a rolling maul lineout drive try under Razor/Jase Ryan?

                    Wow that def puts the decision in a different light - not going for the line but going for the maul try. Some clever move to get Ardie powering in there would have been better

                    1 Reply Last reply
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                    • C Offline
                      C Offline
                      cgrant
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #355

                      It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                      BonesB 1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • C cgrant

                        It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                        BonesB Offline
                        BonesB Offline
                        Bones
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #356

                        @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                        It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                        I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                        H antipodeanA ToddyT 3 Replies Last reply
                        4
                        • BonesB Bones

                          @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                          It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                          I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                          H Offline
                          H Offline
                          hydro11
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #357

                          @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                          @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                          It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                          I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                          Yeah. If we have only a 20% chance of scoring from 5 metres out, then we have a low chance of winning in golden point.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          1
                          • BonesB Bones

                            @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                            It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                            I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                            antipodeanA Offline
                            antipodeanA Offline
                            antipodean
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #358

                            @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                            @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                            It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                            I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                            Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                            H 1 Reply Last reply
                            3
                            • antipodeanA antipodean

                              @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                              @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                              It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                              I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                              Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                              H Offline
                              H Offline
                              hydro11
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #359

                              @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                              @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                              @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                              It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                              I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                              Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                              It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                              antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
                              1
                              • H hydro11

                                @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                antipodeanA Offline
                                antipodeanA Offline
                                antipodean
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #360

                                @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                Did they..?

                                H 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • BonesB Bones

                                  @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                  It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                  I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                  ToddyT Offline
                                  ToddyT Offline
                                  Toddy
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #361

                                  @bones and the fact that it had to be from the maul. The maul is just the first option.

                                  Canes couldn't beat MP in golden point ffs

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  1
                                  • antipodeanA antipodean

                                    @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                    I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                    Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                    It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                    Did they..?

                                    H Offline
                                    H Offline
                                    hydro11
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #362

                                    @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                    It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                    I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                    Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                    It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                    Did they..?

                                    Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                    antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • H hydro11

                                      @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                      I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                      Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                      It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                      Did they..?

                                      Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                      antipodeanA Offline
                                      antipodeanA Offline
                                      antipodean
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #363

                                      @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                      It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                      I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                      Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                      It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                      Did they..?

                                      Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                      Let me get this logic right: A Canes lineout has more chance of losing possession that winning it, so it's better to attempt that to its inevitable conclusion (as we saw), than to force other opportunities?

                                      H 1 Reply Last reply
                                      0
                                      • antipodeanA antipodean

                                        @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                        I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                        Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                        It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                        Did they..?

                                        Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                        Let me get this logic right: A Canes lineout has more chance of losing possession that winning it, so it's better to attempt that to its inevitable conclusion (as we saw), than to force other opportunities?

                                        H Offline
                                        H Offline
                                        hydro11
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #364

                                        @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                        It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                        I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                        Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                        It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                        Did they..?

                                        Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                        Let me get this logic right: A Canes lineout has more chance of losing possession that winning it, so it's better to attempt that to its inevitable conclusion (as we saw), than to force other opportunities?

                                        No. The lineout has less than 50% chance of leading to a try. Obviously, we have more than 50% chance of winning the ball back.

                                        antipodeanA 1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • H hydro11

                                          @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                          I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                          Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                          It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                          Did they..?

                                          Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                          Let me get this logic right: A Canes lineout has more chance of losing possession that winning it, so it's better to attempt that to its inevitable conclusion (as we saw), than to force other opportunities?

                                          No. The lineout has less than 50% chance of leading to a try. Obviously, we have more than 50% chance of winning the ball back.

                                          antipodeanA Offline
                                          antipodeanA Offline
                                          antipodean
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #365

                                          @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @hydro11 said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @antipodean said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @bones said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          @cgrant said in Crusaders v Hurricanes:

                                          It was a very kickable penalty. How many chances to get the 3 points : more than 70% IMO. How many chances to score a try via the lineout ? 20% maybe ?

                                          I'm struggling to understand this concept that it's impossible for the canes to win in normal time, yet so much more acceptable they'd win in extra time. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me.

                                          Trying to score from something they're bad at (lineout - maul) against a team excellent at defending a maul. Extra time provides unstructured opportunities which is something the Canes are reasonable at.

                                          It's not just a maul though. Even if you don't score from the maul, you should be able to recycle and get an unstructured opportunity 5 metres out.

                                          Did they..?

                                          Going for the lineout has less than a 50% chance of success, so can't use the fact it failed to prove your point. It has to be based on the likeliness at the time.

                                          Let me get this logic right: A Canes lineout has more chance of losing possession that winning it, so it's better to attempt that to its inevitable conclusion (as we saw), than to force other opportunities?

                                          No. The lineout has less than 50% chance of leading to a try. Obviously, we have more than 50% chance of winning the ball back.

                                          Ok. A Canes lineout has more chance of not leading to a try than scoring one, so it's better to attempt that to its inevitable conclusion (as we saw), than to force other opportunities?

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