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All Blacks vs Wallabies 2

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  • A ABStats

    He's missing 1 in every 5 tackles:

    https://abstats.substack.com/p/the-loose-forwards

    gt12G Offline
    gt12G Offline
    gt12
    wrote on last edited by
    #167

    @ABStats

    Where are your stats from? Opta?

    I'm big on data driven analysis, but quality of opposition, minutes played, and when those minutes were played, can make some of these comparisons pretty tenuous.

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    3
    • No QuarterN No Quarter

      I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

      It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

      P Offline
      P Offline
      pakman
      wrote on last edited by
      #168

      @No-Quarter Ethan Roots gave us problems in both English games, and that may have influenced thinking. But every chance he’d have been just as effective against Bladder or Wallace. Ironical that he slipped through Razors fingers at Saders.

      1 Reply Last reply
      0
      • A Offline
        A Offline
        ARHS
        wrote on last edited by
        #169

        And to think I felt players and teams often got up and put on a great display to celebrate esteemed team mates in their swansong. I must be the only one that wants to see Cane and TJP given a great send-off in Wellington!
        Must be wrong about there being a leadership issue in the AB's this year too, while our regular posters are confident adding some newbies and anointing Wallace and Cortez in the leadershipgroup will do the trick.
        I think both players have fully earned a hometown farewell after huge AB careers, even though nobody else seems to suggest that online.

        P 1 Reply Last reply
        2
        • gt12G gt12

          @ABStats

          Where are your stats from? Opta?

          I'm big on data driven analysis, but quality of opposition, minutes played, and when those minutes were played, can make some of these comparisons pretty tenuous.

          A Offline
          A Offline
          ABStats
          wrote on last edited by
          #170

          @gt12

          All from RugbyPass

          Agreed on quality of opposition but we have had a tough schedule. Really the only games against Tier 2 opposition have been Fiji and arguably Australia. The only points those two provided were a lack of work rate from Jacobson and Cane's continuing tackling issues, along with Blackadder having a shocker that wasn't repeated. That might be unfair on Jacobson.

          Focused on only starters to mitigate the issue around when those minutes were played. I see people are calling for Finau, but he started two tests at six, had a decent work rate but missed tackles and had zero impact with the ball in hand.

          gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
          0
          • A ABStats

            @gt12

            All from RugbyPass

            Agreed on quality of opposition but we have had a tough schedule. Really the only games against Tier 2 opposition have been Fiji and arguably Australia. The only points those two provided were a lack of work rate from Jacobson and Cane's continuing tackling issues, along with Blackadder having a shocker that wasn't repeated. That might be unfair on Jacobson.

            Focused on only starters to mitigate the issue around when those minutes were played. I see people are calling for Finau, but he started two tests at six, had a decent work rate but missed tackles and had zero impact with the ball in hand.

            gt12G Offline
            gt12G Offline
            gt12
            wrote on last edited by gt12
            #171

            @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

            @gt12

            All from RugbyPass

            Agreed on quality of opposition but we have had a tough schedule. Really the only games against Tier 2 opposition have been Fiji and arguably Australia. The only points those two provided were a lack of work rate from Jacobson and Cane's continuing tackling issues, along with Blackadder having a shocker that wasn't repeated. That might be unfair on Jacobson.

            Focused on only starters to mitigate the issue around when those minutes were played. I see people are calling for Finau, but he started two tests at six, had a decent work rate but missed tackles and had zero impact with the ball in hand.

            Don't take this the wrong way, but I'd trust your analysis far more if you could get access to real stats.

            A 1 Reply Last reply
            2
            • gt12G gt12

              @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

              @gt12

              All from RugbyPass

              Agreed on quality of opposition but we have had a tough schedule. Really the only games against Tier 2 opposition have been Fiji and arguably Australia. The only points those two provided were a lack of work rate from Jacobson and Cane's continuing tackling issues, along with Blackadder having a shocker that wasn't repeated. That might be unfair on Jacobson.

              Focused on only starters to mitigate the issue around when those minutes were played. I see people are calling for Finau, but he started two tests at six, had a decent work rate but missed tackles and had zero impact with the ball in hand.

              Don't take this the wrong way, but I'd trust your analysis far more if you could get access to real stats.

              A Offline
              A Offline
              ABStats
              wrote on last edited by
              #172

              @gt12

              I would love the GPS data, however for tackle stats, carries and metres run, RugbyPass is pretty accurate.

              gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
              0
              • A ARHS

                And to think I felt players and teams often got up and put on a great display to celebrate esteemed team mates in their swansong. I must be the only one that wants to see Cane and TJP given a great send-off in Wellington!
                Must be wrong about there being a leadership issue in the AB's this year too, while our regular posters are confident adding some newbies and anointing Wallace and Cortez in the leadershipgroup will do the trick.
                I think both players have fully earned a hometown farewell after huge AB careers, even though nobody else seems to suggest that online.

                P Offline
                P Offline
                ploughboy
                wrote on last edited by
                #173

                @ARHS said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                And to think I felt players and teams often got up and put on a great display to celebrate esteemed team mates in their swansong. I must be the only one that wants to see Cane and TJP given a great send-off in Wellington!
                Must be wrong about there being a leadership issue in the AB's this year too, while our regular posters are confident adding some newbies and anointing Wallace and Cortez in the leadershipgroup will do the trick.
                I think both players have fully earned a hometown farewell after huge AB careers, even though nobody else seems to suggest that online.

                I'm all for canes 100 .FFS he came back from a broken neck,

                1 Reply Last reply
                3
                • A ABStats

                  He's missing 1 in every 5 tackles:

                  https://abstats.substack.com/p/the-loose-forwards

                  K Offline
                  K Offline
                  KiwiInLondon
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #174

                  @ABStats wow brilliant thank you very much for that. Would love to see what the Blackadder nah sayers say about this

                  MN5M 1 Reply Last reply
                  0
                  • A ABStats

                    @gt12

                    I would love the GPS data, however for tackle stats, carries and metres run, RugbyPass is pretty accurate.

                    gt12G Offline
                    gt12G Offline
                    gt12
                    wrote on last edited by gt12
                    #175

                    @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                    @gt12

                    I would love the GPS data, however for tackle stats, carries and metres run, RugbyPass is pretty accurate.

                    A few guys here have access to Opta so can probably comment on that better than I, however I believe Rugbypass doesn't have ruck attendance, cleans etc.

                    It annoys the shit out of me because, like you, I'd like to get a feel for the data. However, with huge areas of the game not covered by the available stats, I'm not sure the ones we can access are that useful.

                    M A 2 Replies Last reply
                    3
                    • K KiwiInLondon

                      @ABStats wow brilliant thank you very much for that. Would love to see what the Blackadder nah sayers say about this

                      MN5M Offline
                      MN5M Offline
                      MN5
                      wrote on last edited by MN5
                      #176

                      @KiwiInLondon said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                      @ABStats wow brilliant thank you very much for that. Would love to see what the Blackadder nah sayers say about this

                      Something along the lines of when he’s not injured he’s actually quite ineffective

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      1
                      • gt12G gt12

                        @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                        @gt12

                        I would love the GPS data, however for tackle stats, carries and metres run, RugbyPass is pretty accurate.

                        A few guys here have access to Opta so can probably comment on that better than I, however I believe Rugbypass doesn't have ruck attendance, cleans etc.

                        It annoys the shit out of me because, like you, I'd like to get a feel for the data. However, with huge areas of the game not covered by the available stats, I'm not sure the ones we can access are that useful.

                        M Offline
                        M Offline
                        Machpants
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #177

                        @gt12 said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                        @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                        @gt12

                        I would love the GPS data, however for tackle stats, carries and metres run, RugbyPass is pretty accurate.

                        A few guys here have access to Opta so can probably comment on that better than I, however I believe Rugbypass doesn't have ruck attendance, cleans etc.

                        It annoys the shit out of me because, like you, I'd like to get a feel for the data. However, with huge areas of the game not covered by the available stats, I'm not sure the ones we can access are that useful.

                        Rugby says 'fuck you and your desire for fan engagement!'

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        6
                        • gt12G gt12

                          @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                          @gt12

                          I would love the GPS data, however for tackle stats, carries and metres run, RugbyPass is pretty accurate.

                          A few guys here have access to Opta so can probably comment on that better than I, however I believe Rugbypass doesn't have ruck attendance, cleans etc.

                          It annoys the shit out of me because, like you, I'd like to get a feel for the data. However, with huge areas of the game not covered by the available stats, I'm not sure the ones we can access are that useful.

                          A Offline
                          A Offline
                          ABStats
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #178

                          @gt12

                          Completely agree.

                          I remember a long time back when one writer used to publish first 3 to a ruck stats for the ABs, I would argue that stat is no longer relevant. Ruck ball is typically won with an accurate first clean due to the pace of the game and the structures played these days. The third person to a ruck typically just leans on it now.

                          The stats I would love to see is time on the ground / time taken to regain feet. From what I have heard those stats have consistently ruled some loosies out of the squad in recent years.

                          gt12G 1 Reply Last reply
                          5
                          • A ABStats

                            @gt12

                            Completely agree.

                            I remember a long time back when one writer used to publish first 3 to a ruck stats for the ABs, I would argue that stat is no longer relevant. Ruck ball is typically won with an accurate first clean due to the pace of the game and the structures played these days. The third person to a ruck typically just leans on it now.

                            The stats I would love to see is time on the ground / time taken to regain feet. From what I have heard those stats have consistently ruled some loosies out of the squad in recent years.

                            gt12G Offline
                            gt12G Offline
                            gt12
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #179

                            @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                            @gt12

                            Completely agree.

                            I remember a long time back when one writer used to publish first 3 to a ruck stats for the ABs, I would argue that stat is no longer relevant. Ruck ball is typically won with an accurate first clean due to the pace of the game and the structures played these days. The third person to a ruck typically just leans on it now.

                            The stats I would love to see is time on the ground / time taken to regain feet. From what I have heard those stats have consistently ruled some loosies out of the squad in recent years.

                            That's what the canterbury mafia here is saying about Sotutu.

                            A 1 Reply Last reply
                            2
                            • gt12G gt12

                              @ABStats said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                              @gt12

                              Completely agree.

                              I remember a long time back when one writer used to publish first 3 to a ruck stats for the ABs, I would argue that stat is no longer relevant. Ruck ball is typically won with an accurate first clean due to the pace of the game and the structures played these days. The third person to a ruck typically just leans on it now.

                              The stats I would love to see is time on the ground / time taken to regain feet. From what I have heard those stats have consistently ruled some loosies out of the squad in recent years.

                              That's what the canterbury mafia here is saying about Sotutu.

                              A Offline
                              A Offline
                              ABStats
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #180

                              @gt12

                              Haven't heard that about him

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              2
                              • canefanC canefan

                                @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                D Offline
                                D Offline
                                DaGrubster
                                wrote on last edited by DaGrubster
                                #181

                                @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                I think this will be his last test match.

                                Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                canefanC 1 Reply Last reply
                                1
                                • D DaGrubster

                                  @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                  @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                  I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                  It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                  Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                  I think this will be his last test match.

                                  Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                  I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                  canefanC Offline
                                  canefanC Offline
                                  canefan
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #182

                                  @DaGrubster said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                  @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                  @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                  I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                  It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                  Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                  I think this will be his last test match.

                                  Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                  I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                  And Razor just has to play along? Most un-AB like

                                  D 1 Reply Last reply
                                  0
                                  • canefanC canefan

                                    @DaGrubster said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                    It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                    Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                    I think this will be his last test match.

                                    Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                    I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                    And Razor just has to play along? Most un-AB like

                                    D Offline
                                    D Offline
                                    DaGrubster
                                    wrote on last edited by DaGrubster
                                    #183

                                    @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    @DaGrubster said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                    I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                    It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                    Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                    I think this will be his last test match.

                                    Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                    I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                    And Razor just has to play along? Most un-AB like

                                    Of course I had nothing to back up my claim but just a hunch

                                    canefanC 1 Reply Last reply
                                    0
                                    • DuluthD Duluth

                                      @Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                      @MN5 said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                      With Jordie injured and ALB stinking out the joint 12 is looking REALLY bad all of a sudden.

                                      Don't worry, DH is in the squad.

                                      It's possible considering JB is probably injured and ALB didn't play well. Or a surprise selection of Plummer at 12, him and RI have played together a lot

                                      I'd like to see ALB/RI play after having a full week training together though

                                      Victor MeldrewV Offline
                                      Victor MeldrewV Offline
                                      Victor Meldrew
                                      wrote on last edited by
                                      #184

                                      @Duluth said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                      @Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                      @MN5 said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                      With Jordie injured and ALB stinking out the joint 12 is looking REALLY bad all of a sudden.

                                      Don't worry, DH is in the squad.

                                      It's possible considering JB is probably injured and ALB didn't play well. Or a surprise selection of Plummer at 12, him and RI have played together a lot

                                      I'd like to see ALB/RI play after having a full week training together though

                                      I'd rather have DH at 12. He at least had some experience.

                                      And the Fern meltdown will be an opportunity to reduce my popcorn stockpile.

                                      M 1 Reply Last reply
                                      3
                                      • D DaGrubster

                                        @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @DaGrubster said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                        It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                        Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                        I think this will be his last test match.

                                        Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                        I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                        And Razor just has to play along? Most un-AB like

                                        Of course I had nothing to back up my claim but just a hunch

                                        canefanC Offline
                                        canefanC Offline
                                        canefan
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #185

                                        @DaGrubster said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @DaGrubster said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @canefan said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        @No-Quarter said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                        I had forgotten that Finau only got 57 minutes in the first test and 49 in the 2nd. That skews his stats big time. It's frustrating that they have gone with Blackadder at 6 as that both fucked the balance and has meant Finau wasn't able to grow at this level. "Not great but not terrible" is actually OK against England given his age and experience, and he clearly has the talent and physical attributes to go very well there.

                                        It seems like a combination of Crusader bias and a love of Sam Cane that is screwing the balance at the moment. If Blackadder plays, it has to be at 7 as that is where you want your tackler. But they've immediately gone to Cane since his return from injury so their chosen one has to slot in at 6, and having two of the same player out there was never going to work.

                                        Cane can't leave soon enough. It will force Razor to make changes

                                        I think this will be his last test match.

                                        Gets to his 100 and soyonara.

                                        I’m convinced that his mgmt team has done a deal to get him to a 100 so the NZR can get him off the books

                                        And Razor just has to play along? Most un-AB like

                                        Of course I had nothing to back up my claim but just a hunch

                                        I remember in Razor's puff piece doco, he talked about Dropping Wyatt Crockett (?). So the implication was that he is quite able to drop a player if they aren't performing, regardless of reputation

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        0
                                        • Victor MeldrewV Victor Meldrew

                                          @Duluth said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                          @Crazy-Horse said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                          @MN5 said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                          With Jordie injured and ALB stinking out the joint 12 is looking REALLY bad all of a sudden.

                                          Don't worry, DH is in the squad.

                                          It's possible considering JB is probably injured and ALB didn't play well. Or a surprise selection of Plummer at 12, him and RI have played together a lot

                                          I'd like to see ALB/RI play after having a full week training together though

                                          I'd rather have DH at 12. He at least had some experience.

                                          And the Fern meltdown will be an opportunity to reduce my popcorn stockpile.

                                          M Offline
                                          M Offline
                                          Machpants
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #186

                                          @Victor-Meldrew said in All Blacks vs Wallabies 2:

                                          I'd rather have DH at 12.

                                          28278199-8fd0-4eb1-be44-87c08718175b-image.png

                                          Havili should be nowhere near ABs XV, let alone ABs squad. We need to move on from these weak, old, slow, flawed players. I can't beleive anyone would suggest this.

                                          Victor MeldrewV 1 Reply Last reply
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