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All Blacks 2023

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  • F frugby

    Random Friday afternoon thought, and no idea where to put this.

    I think Richie Mo'unga will be the All Blacks first five at the 2027 World Cup.

    ChrisC Offline
    ChrisC Offline
    Chris
    wrote on last edited by
    #3551

    @frugby said in All Blacks 2023:

    Random Friday afternoon thought, and no idea where to put this.

    I think Richie Mo'unga will be the All Blacks first five at the 2027 World Cup.

    A real possibility his contract in Japan finishes in 2026 he would be 33 by the time the 2027 WC comes around, not old for a test First Five.

    Ritchie has also hinted he would like to come back to the Crusaders for a couple of seasons and Razor rates him of course.

    G sparkyS Victor MeldrewV 3 Replies Last reply
    2
    • KiwiwombleK Offline
      KiwiwombleK Offline
      Kiwiwomble
      wrote on last edited by
      #3552

      i really hope he doesnt just walk back into the crusaders/AB's, Id hope over 4 years we have the next our guys coming through, come back and earn it...great? come back and handed it because no one else has stepped up? worrying

      F 1 Reply Last reply
      2
      • KiwiwombleK Kiwiwomble

        i really hope he doesnt just walk back into the crusaders/AB's, Id hope over 4 years we have the next our guys coming through, come back and earn it...great? come back and handed it because no one else has stepped up? worrying

        F Offline
        F Offline
        frugby
        wrote on last edited by
        #3553

        @Kiwiwomble said in All Blacks 2023:

        i really hope he doesnt just walk back into the crusaders/AB's, Id hope over 4 years we have the next our guys coming through, come back and earn it...great? come back and handed it because no one else has stepped up? worrying

        I don't necessarily think it is as simple as that, but if you look at the current 10s, who will be the ones we are looking at over the next four years, I don't have any great conviction in any of them.

        Blues:
        Perofeta - Is he a 10? Is he good enough anyway?
        Sullivan - Quality potential, but again, is he a 10?
        Cashmore - Not seen enough, but unlikely to be that good

        Chiefs:
        McKenzie - Will get first crack, and will in theory be the man in the interim, but how will he go when he loses a yard of pace... massively reliant on it
        Ioane - No
        Trask - Don't think so

        Hurricanes:
        Morgan - No
        Cameron - Maybe? Hasn't really done it yet, perhaps next year is his year, but hardly strikes confidence, and isn't actually that young

        Crusaders:
        Burke - Potential, needs a big Super season, then we will see. Could be a squad option, but doesn't give me the vibe of a top All Black 10
        Kemara - The fact the Chiefs didn't really want him might well speak volumes
        Reihana - No

        Highlanders:
        Millar - Similar to Burke, but obviously less proven, and can't stay fit
        Faleafaga - Reads the game exceptionally well, and is probably the best running 10 of any of the real up and comers, but his kicking game is massively lacking

        Obviously there are Jacombs and others, but we are talking about a guy to be the All Black first five. Look at the recent All Black 10s, then look at those ones. Think it is entirely possible nobody fills the void, Mo'unga comes back, and has a good Super season, and fairly waltzs back in.

        KiwiwombleK antipodeanA BonesB 3 Replies Last reply
        2
        • F frugby

          @Kiwiwomble said in All Blacks 2023:

          i really hope he doesnt just walk back into the crusaders/AB's, Id hope over 4 years we have the next our guys coming through, come back and earn it...great? come back and handed it because no one else has stepped up? worrying

          I don't necessarily think it is as simple as that, but if you look at the current 10s, who will be the ones we are looking at over the next four years, I don't have any great conviction in any of them.

          Blues:
          Perofeta - Is he a 10? Is he good enough anyway?
          Sullivan - Quality potential, but again, is he a 10?
          Cashmore - Not seen enough, but unlikely to be that good

          Chiefs:
          McKenzie - Will get first crack, and will in theory be the man in the interim, but how will he go when he loses a yard of pace... massively reliant on it
          Ioane - No
          Trask - Don't think so

          Hurricanes:
          Morgan - No
          Cameron - Maybe? Hasn't really done it yet, perhaps next year is his year, but hardly strikes confidence, and isn't actually that young

          Crusaders:
          Burke - Potential, needs a big Super season, then we will see. Could be a squad option, but doesn't give me the vibe of a top All Black 10
          Kemara - The fact the Chiefs didn't really want him might well speak volumes
          Reihana - No

          Highlanders:
          Millar - Similar to Burke, but obviously less proven, and can't stay fit
          Faleafaga - Reads the game exceptionally well, and is probably the best running 10 of any of the real up and comers, but his kicking game is massively lacking

          Obviously there are Jacombs and others, but we are talking about a guy to be the All Black first five. Look at the recent All Black 10s, then look at those ones. Think it is entirely possible nobody fills the void, Mo'unga comes back, and has a good Super season, and fairly waltzs back in.

          KiwiwombleK Offline
          KiwiwombleK Offline
          Kiwiwomble
          wrote on last edited by Kiwiwomble
          #3554

          @frugby ...you might be giving my 2 line post too much credit....i dont know...i would just HOPE that over 3 years we'll develop an international standard 10...because if we done...and he's in japan...then we could be in for a rough few years

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • ChrisC Chris

            @frugby said in All Blacks 2023:

            Random Friday afternoon thought, and no idea where to put this.

            I think Richie Mo'unga will be the All Blacks first five at the 2027 World Cup.

            A real possibility his contract in Japan finishes in 2026 he would be 33 by the time the 2027 WC comes around, not old for a test First Five.

            Ritchie has also hinted he would like to come back to the Crusaders for a couple of seasons and Razor rates him of course.

            G Offline
            G Offline
            george33
            wrote on last edited by
            #3555

            @Chris move on he be finished by then, new guys will come thru as they always do

            ChrisC F 2 Replies Last reply
            1
            • G george33

              @Chris move on he be finished by then, new guys will come thru as they always do

              ChrisC Offline
              ChrisC Offline
              Chris
              wrote on last edited by
              #3556

              @george33 said in All Blacks 2023:

              @Chris move on he be finished by then, new guys will come thru as they always do

              I don’t see see any now and the u/20 first fives from 2023 are shit.

              They better come along soon you don’t want a first or 2nd year rookie leading your WC campaign at first five, it takes experience,as proven in other world cups.

              StargazerS 1 Reply Last reply
              1
              • ChrisC Chris

                @george33 said in All Blacks 2023:

                @Chris move on he be finished by then, new guys will come thru as they always do

                I don’t see see any now and the u/20 first fives from 2023 are shit.

                They better come along soon you don’t want a first or 2nd year rookie leading your WC campaign at first five, it takes experience,as proven in other world cups.

                StargazerS Offline
                StargazerS Offline
                Stargazer
                wrote on last edited by Stargazer
                #3557

                @Chris said in All Blacks 2023:

                the u/20 first fives from 2023 are shit

                I assume you see Harry Godfrey only as a fullback then, because he was class when he took over from Kemara at 10. Did Faleagaga even get a shot at 10? All I remember is Kemara disappointing.

                ChrisC F 2 Replies Last reply
                0
                • StargazerS Stargazer

                  @Chris said in All Blacks 2023:

                  the u/20 first fives from 2023 are shit

                  I assume you see Harry Godfrey only as a fullback then, because he was class when he took over from Kemara at 10. Did Faleagaga even get a shot at 10? All I remember is Kemara disappointing.

                  ChrisC Offline
                  ChrisC Offline
                  Chris
                  wrote on last edited by Chris
                  #3558

                  @Stargazer

                  Yep I see Godfrey as a FB mainly, his ability to run from the back is a threat which I like.

                  Faleagaga didn’t impress me much in the NPC.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  1
                  • G Offline
                    G Offline
                    george33
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #3559

                    Perofeta/ Zarn Sullivan will b there in the next cycle still young guys

                    ChrisC 1 Reply Last reply
                    1
                    • ChrisC Chris

                      @frugby said in All Blacks 2023:

                      Random Friday afternoon thought, and no idea where to put this.

                      I think Richie Mo'unga will be the All Blacks first five at the 2027 World Cup.

                      A real possibility his contract in Japan finishes in 2026 he would be 33 by the time the 2027 WC comes around, not old for a test First Five.

                      Ritchie has also hinted he would like to come back to the Crusaders for a couple of seasons and Razor rates him of course.

                      sparkyS Offline
                      sparkyS Offline
                      sparky
                      wrote on last edited by
                      #3560

                      @Chris Almost certainly if Razor lasts that long as Head Coach.

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      0
                      • M Offline
                        M Offline
                        Machpants
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #3561

                        He certainly has a challenge ahead for next year. How well does a super coach go with a less than super bunch of players in some positions - hooker OK, props good, locks porr, loosies always good, nines looking hopeful, tens looking bare, midfield OK, wings and outside backs fine IMO

                        Victor MeldrewV 1 Reply Last reply
                        1
                        • G george33

                          Perofeta/ Zarn Sullivan will b there in the next cycle still young guys

                          ChrisC Offline
                          ChrisC Offline
                          Chris
                          wrote on last edited by
                          #3562

                          @george33

                          Sullivan or Perofeta will probably be there but only the one who gets that First five slot at the blues will be a serious First Five contender for the next WC.

                          Sullivan to me looks like a FB trying to play first five.

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          1
                          • mariner4lifeM Offline
                            mariner4lifeM Offline
                            mariner4life
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #3563

                            If he doesn't fancy DMac then he is going to have to build one from scratch, just like the Three Wise Men did with Dane Coles. Somehow they took a guy in a problem position, and he went from barely Super standard to arguably our greatest hooker.

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            1
                            • G george33

                              @Chris move on he be finished by then, new guys will come thru as they always do

                              F Offline
                              F Offline
                              frugby
                              wrote on last edited by
                              #3564

                              @george33 said in All Blacks 2023:

                              @Chris move on he be finished by then, new guys will come thru as they always do

                              That's my whole point, I don't think any of the current crops look the goods. There has always been an obviously good ABs 10, and generally several of them at that.

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              1
                              • StargazerS Stargazer

                                @Chris said in All Blacks 2023:

                                the u/20 first fives from 2023 are shit

                                I assume you see Harry Godfrey only as a fullback then, because he was class when he took over from Kemara at 10. Did Faleagaga even get a shot at 10? All I remember is Kemara disappointing.

                                F Offline
                                F Offline
                                frugby
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #3565

                                @Stargazer said in All Blacks 2023:

                                @Chris said in All Blacks 2023:

                                the u/20 first fives from 2023 are shit

                                I assume you see Harry Godfrey only as a fullback then, because he was class when he took over from Kemara at 10. Did Faleagaga even get a shot at 10? All I remember is Kemara disappointing.

                                This is the whole kind of point though, are these guys world class in the making? And even then, they are probably still too young for consideration for the All Blacks.

                                What it will likely end up coming down to is opportunities, which is what gives Millar and Faleafaga the biggest advantage of the young, young guys, as the Highlanders 10 jersey is open - whether they are top level, I am unsure, but both have some qualities that are likeable, and can be worked in.

                                Kemara has a massive chance to stake a claim, but if he doesn't get a chance at the start of next season, I think you can safely say, he is years away from being ready, if ever.

                                As for Godfrey, the big issue for him, is the existence of Love and Moorby. Both locked in at 15, so chances will be limited. He is basically the DMac regen, and look how long it has taken him to get to the level he is.

                                To conclude, if you were asking me the three 10s for the ABs in Razor's first squad, I would guess McKenzie, Cameron and Burke. I think Perofeta will end up playing 15, which will count against him, and I don't think Sullivan is a 10. Millar is the wildcard in this equation, because as I say, it is conceivable he stays fit, guides around an improving Highlanders squad, and they decide to carry him as the third 10 as a bit of a project player.

                                Burke I think looks tidy, but he is no Mo'unga, Barrett, or even a Cruden.

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                0
                                • gt12G Offline
                                  gt12G Offline
                                  gt12
                                  wrote on last edited by gt12
                                  #3566

                                  Dmac is 28, so if he becomes the incumbent, they’ll have Perofeta and whoever new by then. They can bring in any number of young players.

                                  That’s not to say that Mo’unga wouldn’t be useful, but it would suggest that the next set of AB coaches cant develop players for shit.

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  1
                                  • Billy TellB Offline
                                    Billy TellB Offline
                                    Billy Tell
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #3567

                                    Surely a coach is a good coach because he also has the ability to spot talent etc. The only time I can remember nz scratching around was when both Gallagher and ridge left at the same time. I’ve no doubt a 10 will turn up somewhere and Robertson will pick them. We always develop talent, have faith people. I’d be more worried about 4 & 5 then 10.

                                    boobooB 1 Reply Last reply
                                    2
                                    • ChrisC Chris

                                      @frugby said in All Blacks 2023:

                                      Random Friday afternoon thought, and no idea where to put this.

                                      I think Richie Mo'unga will be the All Blacks first five at the 2027 World Cup.

                                      A real possibility his contract in Japan finishes in 2026 he would be 33 by the time the 2027 WC comes around, not old for a test First Five.

                                      Ritchie has also hinted he would like to come back to the Crusaders for a couple of seasons and Razor rates him of course.

                                      Victor MeldrewV Offline
                                      Victor MeldrewV Offline
                                      Victor Meldrew
                                      wrote on last edited by Victor Meldrew
                                      #3568

                                      @Chris said in All Blacks 2023:

                                      @frugby said in All Blacks 2023:

                                      Random Friday afternoon thought, and no idea where to put this.

                                      I think Richie Mo'unga will be the All Blacks first five at the 2027 World Cup.

                                      A real possibility his contract in Japan finishes in 2026 he would be 33 by the time the 2027 WC comes around, not old for a test First Five.

                                      Ritchie has also hinted he would like to come back to the Crusaders for a couple of seasons and Razor rates him of course.

                                      I really hope not. Scott Robertson should have had plenty of time to get his AB team/squad pretty much sorted by then.

                                      If we have to rely on a 33 yr-old coming back from Japan one year out from a RWC to fill the 10 position, then NZ rugby is in worse state than it is now and I'd want some serious questions answered.

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      3
                                      • F frugby

                                        @Kiwiwomble said in All Blacks 2023:

                                        i really hope he doesnt just walk back into the crusaders/AB's, Id hope over 4 years we have the next our guys coming through, come back and earn it...great? come back and handed it because no one else has stepped up? worrying

                                        I don't necessarily think it is as simple as that, but if you look at the current 10s, who will be the ones we are looking at over the next four years, I don't have any great conviction in any of them.

                                        Blues:
                                        Perofeta - Is he a 10? Is he good enough anyway?
                                        Sullivan - Quality potential, but again, is he a 10?
                                        Cashmore - Not seen enough, but unlikely to be that good

                                        Chiefs:
                                        McKenzie - Will get first crack, and will in theory be the man in the interim, but how will he go when he loses a yard of pace... massively reliant on it
                                        Ioane - No
                                        Trask - Don't think so

                                        Hurricanes:
                                        Morgan - No
                                        Cameron - Maybe? Hasn't really done it yet, perhaps next year is his year, but hardly strikes confidence, and isn't actually that young

                                        Crusaders:
                                        Burke - Potential, needs a big Super season, then we will see. Could be a squad option, but doesn't give me the vibe of a top All Black 10
                                        Kemara - The fact the Chiefs didn't really want him might well speak volumes
                                        Reihana - No

                                        Highlanders:
                                        Millar - Similar to Burke, but obviously less proven, and can't stay fit
                                        Faleafaga - Reads the game exceptionally well, and is probably the best running 10 of any of the real up and comers, but his kicking game is massively lacking

                                        Obviously there are Jacombs and others, but we are talking about a guy to be the All Black first five. Look at the recent All Black 10s, then look at those ones. Think it is entirely possible nobody fills the void, Mo'unga comes back, and has a good Super season, and fairly waltzs back in.

                                        antipodeanA Offline
                                        antipodeanA Offline
                                        antipodean
                                        wrote on last edited by
                                        #3569

                                        @frugby four years is a long time in NZ rugby.

                                        Victor MeldrewV 1 Reply Last reply
                                        2
                                        • TimT Offline
                                          TimT Offline
                                          Tim
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #3570

                                          Big season ahead for Josh Lord. Would be great if he matures just as Retallick and Whitelock leave.

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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